Seasonal Forecasts
This has been the SSTA profile the past few years. Very warm N Pacific. Very cold central North Atlantic This has been the resulting winter pattern for Europe thanks to the above SSTA profile. But this year with the opposite showing, this is where I think we’re going in 2016-17. A Rough Guide to the Jet Stream: […]
We have all the ingredients coming together this week to bring the season’s first major winter storm starting off Out West. However once the circulation crosses the Rockies and enters the open Plains, cold air sweeps in from the NW meeting warm, humid air from SE and along with strong upper jet stream, the system is going […]
The seesaw is ready to swing the other way as the warm air currently over the UK will be over snowbound Romania, Ukraine and W Russia by late weekend as seen from the below GFS 2m temp anomaly charts. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Last night and tonight are the coldest of the season for eastern Europe, especially over deep snow cover. […]
According to a recent press release from NOAA, La Nina is officially here. This is NOT good news for a parched California/Southwest and Southern United States. The reason is of course that La Nina’s tend to favour drier than normal conditions from Central/Southern California to Carolinas. This unfortunately encompasses both ‘extreme drought’ areas and so significant drought relief during […]
We’ve reached mid November and we have a classic autumnal rollercoaster of weather this week. With a jet stream to the north and stiff southwesterly, the UK is starting off the week downright warm while on the opposite end of the continent, Ukraine and Southeast Europe is digging out. The below GFS 850mb temp chart shows […]
We may finally be turning a corner with this super mild fall of 2016. It looks set in stone that the first snowstorm is on the way from Washington to Minnesota. A second low pushes into the Pacific Northwest and looks set to deliver as it deepens into a major low and wind machine once east of the […]
The Arctic air which opened November from UK to Germany is getting pushed east and replaced by Atlantic air. While last week saw daytime highs only muster 3-6C from Glasgow to Berlin, the return of southwest winds have forced a 6-8, locally 10C temperature rise. The UK may be back in the 11-15C range with rain spreading […]
By Jon Erdman Published Nov 11 2016 07:05 PM EST weather.com Story Highlights After a relatively wet October, parts of the Northwest are now setting all-time November record highs. The Northern Plains and Canadian Prairies are also joining in, seeing highs surge into the 70s. This warm pattern will persist until a pattern change next […]
It was only a matter of time before the Siberian surface high exploded towards 1060mb following the incredible snow growth of the past 4 weeks. The GFS next week builds the high to at least 1056, generating a widespread 10-20 CELCIUS below normal across southern Russia, Kazakhstan, Mongolia and China. 24-26C below normal is pretty incredible! […]
With NNE winds and wildfires burning in the North Georgia/SE Tennessee, North Carolina woods, a smoky haze covered the Atlanta skyline this afternoon as the above picture reveals from today. (Credit: John Spink) Watch today’s video Can’t miss this wildfire burning in North Carolina from plane on final approach into Charlotte. The new drought maps came out yesterday […]
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