Seasonal Forecasts
The 2016-17’s first major winter storm certainly lived up to the billing. With record warmth flooding the country ahead of the storm and caused by the storm, to a significant blast of snow then cold. It wiped out record 70-80F warmth and dropped temperatures 25-35 degrees within 24 hours from Colorado to Vermont. Denver, CO went from a […]
What a difference a week makes in Aberdeenshire. Last Monday saw temperatures climb to a balmy 17C in Aboyne. This Monday morning? Braemar dipped to -12.1C. Our air flow from last Thursday through the past weekend can be traced back to Northern Greenland and Arctic. As this bitter air crosses an 8-12C ocean, moisture is picked up, hence the […]
With the help of snow cover, light wind and a clear, cold atmosphere, Loch Glascarnoch witnessed a Sunday AM minimum of -9.8C. This is the UK’s lowest November reading since the record cold end to November 2010 which marked the beginning of the UK’s coldest December on record. View from Loch Glascarnoch (Between Inverness-Ullapool). In stark contrast […]
The season is gradually changing shape as we head towards the final days of November. Ralph Fato pointed out that US snow cover has grown from 1 to 19% within just 2/3 days thanks to the Rockies, Plains snowstorm that’s now transferring into the Northeast. Totals were most impressive in NE Minnesota where there was […]
A bizarre chain of ocean-atmospheric events has led to a setup you never see in November. Record low arctic sea ice has led to a weak polar vortex which in turn has held a strongly negative arctic oscillation. That then has supported persistent high latitude blocking which makes for an unusually warm arctic and unusually […]
The relentless September-like heat is being wiped out west to east and replaced with late November conditions. Many sites have went from 75F to as much as 85F only to experience snow within 24 hours. If your still ahead of the front, well enjoy the warmth! Wind blowing hard and snow falling hard this morning. Sioux Falls, […]
With the help of a northerly (arctic origin) showery air flow, several spots over the UK have woken to a fresh covering of snow this morning! Great shot from Martin McKenna of the snow near Coleraine, Antrim last night. Another great shot from Paul Kingston in Harwood, Durham this morning. Where you perhaps didn’t see the snow, you may have […]
It’s been a weird and wacky week of weather. We commenced the week with night lows of 14C and afternoons up to 17C, now it’s icy wind, rain, sleet and snow showers. Unusual? No but tornadoes? Blame a late November strength cold front driving into an unusually warm, humid air mass. Doesn’t take much within the […]
And so the remarkable stretch of record breaking warmth continues and we’re just 15 days from the start of Meteorological Winter. Most stations from the Mississippi westward have seen their warmest past 30 day stretch for the time of year on record! As for the first 15 days of November? The core of the heat has […]

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