Seasonal Forecasts

Solar Likely Holding NAO/AO Positive But Why The Cold Spells Then? A Look At Winter’s ‘Chilly’ End Game…

Solar Likely Holding NAO/AO Positive But Why The Cold Spells Then? A Look At Winter’s ‘Chilly’ End Game…

There has undoubtedly been a distinct lack of negative NAO and even AO this winter. That’s despite seeing 3 cold spells. Sure, they’ve not been all that extreme on the grand scheme of things. The first during the first 2 weeks of December brought some snow and cold, the 2nd the week between Christmas and […]

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Mid-Atlantic, Northeast Snow Drought About To Get A Kick In The Ass?

Written by on January 20, 2015 in United States of America, Winter 2014/15 with 0 Comments
Mid-Atlantic, Northeast Snow Drought About To Get A Kick In The Ass?

After a lull in weather proceedings of late, we’re finally getting into some interesting weather once again. First of all we’re watching the clipper diving through the Lakes into the Northeast tonight and tomorrow and a secondary system which after bringing heavy snow to the 4 Corners, pushes through Texas before riding up the coast as […]

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-13.7C Is UK’s Coldest Since 2012, Front Slows, Weakens As I Hits The Cold Dome

-13.7C Is UK’s Coldest Since 2012, Front Slows, Weakens As I Hits The Cold Dome

It was cold last night in particular across the West and Northwest Highlands of Scotland with evening temps (around 4.30pm) dipping to -13.7C at Loch Glascarnoch. That’s the UK’s lowest since 2012 when Holbeach, Lincolnshire hit -15 and Scotland’s lowest since December 2010. While the chill levelled off overnight across the North, they continued cooling further south. Heathrow […]

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US Outlook: First The Snow Then The Cold!

Written by on January 20, 2015 in United States of America, Winter 2014/15 with 0 Comments
US Outlook: First The Snow Then The Cold!

The emphasis of the US weather pattern in coming days is the clipper system dropping out of Canada which should bring a fairly uniform 1-3 inches of snow. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Then modelling (primarily the ECMWF) forms a system along the Gulf and takes it up the East Coast this weekend. ECMWF snow projections after projected coastal system. ECM […]

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Midweek Front Is A Headache, Atlantic Becomes More Of A Player This Weekend/Next Week

Midweek Front Is A Headache, Atlantic Becomes More Of A Player This Weekend/Next Week

The first in a series of Atlantic fronts arrive tonight into tomorrow. How much snow will it produce is near impossible to say… However, high ground locales have a good chance but if your down at lower levels, it’s going to be a close call between rain, sleet and snow. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] These systems are […]

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GFS Takes NYC, Philly Back Into Single Digits

Written by on January 18, 2015 in United States of America, Winter 2014/15 with 1 Comment
GFS Takes NYC, Philly Back Into Single Digits

Your well aware by now that I expect the cold to come back as we head towards month’s end. Thought I would take a look at the GFS meteogram day 9-15. Saw some things which caught my eye. Notice how the model takes NYC back to 9 on the morning of Feb 2. This would […]

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WESTERN EUROPE: Models Hold ‘Colder Than Normal Pattern’ Into February

WESTERN EUROPE: Models Hold ‘Colder Than Normal Pattern’ Into February

I said in the video that I wasn’t going to post.. well just a few thoughts on this chilly Sunday afternoon. Cold night ahead but nothing unusual when you’ve an arctic air mass sitting over fresh snow cover! GFS 2m temps Mon AM These temps are very dependant upon clear sky and light wind in just […]

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US: End Of January Arctic Outbreak Looking Impressive On The Charts!

Written by on January 17, 2015 in United States of America, Winter 2014/15 with 0 Comments
US: End Of January Arctic Outbreak Looking Impressive On The Charts!

The month has been cold so far in the East and it looks like the month could end colder than it began. Therefore despite the brief thaw we’re seeing now, the below normal departures now, should be even colder come January 31. Many a great winter has seen a mid January thaw! Another cold one for the Northeast this morning, especially over […]

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Cold Pattern To Last Throughout Next Week, -16C Possible In Highlands!

Cold Pattern To Last Throughout Next Week, -16C Possible In Highlands!

If you haven’t seen snow yet, you have a chance (if your away from the immediate coast) either today in the form of showers or there’s a more substantial chance Tuesday-Wednesday as a system comes in from the Atlantic. By 168 hours or a week from today, this is the GFS’s projected Europe & UK snow cover! […]

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Finally… A Cold Pattern Worth Shouting About! Near UK-Wide Snow Cover Next Weekend?

Finally… A Cold Pattern Worth Shouting About! Near UK-Wide Snow Cover Next Weekend?

We along with many others have fresh snow on the ground this morning. It’s not the first. Up till now, it’s came and went but this time it should stay as colder air straight from the arctic sweeps in and locks in this weekend. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The cold will build and with fronts riding the […]

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