Seasonal Forecasts
There is no question the cold is coming back. However the true question is just how strong? CFSv2 is now catching on but I think it’s a little too slow. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Check out the GFS ensemble. Remember this is an ENSEMBLE, 51 members joined together! EPS Control Short and sweet tonight but be sure to […]
The storm is whipping pretty good just now here and for some, it’s downright damaging! Top gusts have been clocked at 111 mph on exposed Aonach Mor summit, located E of Fort William, 105 mph on Cairngorm and even down in Cumbria, gusts of 101 mph have been recorded on Great Dun Fell. The A9 linking Perth with Inverness […]
Another cold morning across the Northern Tier. Downright frigid and coldest of the season for Ohio, Michigan and the interior Northeast. Yes, this final in a series of arctic highs to come down has sure packed a punch. Yesterday saw temps hit -35 in Minnesota and -21 in Iowa. This morning, Grand Rapids, MI plummeted […]
Old man winter has certainly been tightening his grip in the last 24 hours as snow becomes more widespread and disruptive across many parts of Ireland and the UK. The Met Office were right to issue it’s first Amber (Be prepared) snow warning in 2 years yesterday as heavy snow has impacted many parts overnight into this morning. […]
It’s just another frigid January morning for the Northern Tier. In fact the coldest of winter so far for some! Helped of course by snow cover and a 1044 high. Tomorrow am looks coldest for some parts of OH, MI, PA, western NY. TOP IMAGE CREDIT: D.J. Kayser [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] What’s coming! Based on the […]
It’s been a snowy morning here and across many parts of Scotland as well as Ireland and Northern Ireland thanks to Canadian-Arctic air driven in on the backside of Monday’s low pressure system. These systems are forming over North America and crossing the North Atlantic but dragging very cold, arctic air with it. Sure, the air […]
This week isn’t going to be all that warm but there is undoubtedly a ‘warming trend’ following the frigid open to the month. Despite all the talk about warmer weather… here were this morning’s lows. 1044 high over MN-IA tomorrow. Here comes that warm-up. TOP IMAGE CREDIT: Eli Welson (@weird_kid_down) [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] As previously stated, the […]
Behind today’s storm passing to our north, we see much colder (Canadian-Arctic) air sweeping across the UK/Ireland with increased snow threats. We can expect significant accumulation above 150 metres with smaller accumulation down to lower levels across Ireland, much of Scotland and N England later today through tomorrow. Surface charts show low thicknesses (representing colder air) with 522 […]
Looks like a modest early week snow system for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast as yet another, albeit weaker high brings an additional cold shot into the nation. ECMWF GFS [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] While we have a warming trend over the next 7-10 days, there’s solid support now showing in the models for a return to the arctic […]
It’s another cold start across the Plains, Midwest and East thanks to the 3rd arctic high settling overhead. The good news for those tired of the cold is that temps haven’t been quite as bad as last January (up till now anyway) and there is moderation on the way. However, we’re watching closely the potential […]

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