Seasonal Forecasts
The models are going back and fourth with snow totals. As of now, it appears the focus of heaviest snow is north and east of NYC. While NYC may fall short of it’s all-time record (26.9″ set in Feb 2006), Boston which topped 27″ with the Blizzard of 2003 may come close. Here’s a nice satellite view of […]
This week is undoubtedly the busiest of winter when combining the historic snowstorm potential on the US East Coast and heavy snow expected on this side also. Yes, the Eastern US storm will in-part be responsible for the late week UK cold and snow. There’s a ripple effect and nice teleconnection this week. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] […]
I was taking today off but based on latest model snowfall print out’s, I had to throw up a few charts. It looks like we have a major snowstorm on the way for the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. Especially the coastal Northeast and I-95. With models printing out 6-12, locally 12-24″ amounts even for the Big Cities, this […]
Based on all I’m seeing, I believe the next 15-20 days will bring the worst of this winter’s snow and cold. More snow than what we’ve seen so far… ECMWF and GFS both really lay down the snows again over the next 7-10 days. Snow cover projections are impressive. Here’s Europe snow cover by day 10.. Not […]
A snowy morning around New York/New Jersey this morning. This is just the beginning… Manhattan, NYC Secaucus, NJ Ridgeway, NJ Bronx, NY Projected snow off the ECMWF through 36 hrs (current system) Through 96 hrs including clipper which follows Mon-Tue. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Here comes that trough behind the clipper. Remember I said that the cold of […]
It’s been an interesting winter. Despite a +NAO/AO, we have seen the snow and cold materialise with even the ‘mild spells’ in between producing snow, cold and ice. How so? There are other drivers which are overwhelming this winter’s mean pattern. Cold spell No 4 is on it’s way to end next week and this brings a […]
The winter so far has been rather up and down with mild spells and cold spells. Here’s how December turned out. I think January will be above average across central, northern and eastern Europe, below average in the south, southwest and west including the UK and Ireland. I believe the cold spell we’re just coming […]
We continue to watch not one but 2 snow makers ahead of the first wave of arctic cold into the East. The EC storm track appears to be slightly inland as it heads up the coast and therefore rainfall may be more substantial than previously thought for the Big Cities. There also appears to be less cold air available but this doesn’t mean there won’t be snow […]
Transition from cold to warm is always messy and often dangerous. Many can be fooled into thinking ice is gone when the temp climbs and it feels much more pleasant and people start relaxing more on foot and behind the wheel but the ground remains cold often for days after. Therefore black ice becomes a much more significant risk, often […]
Just when you thought winter may be over, we have 2 snow systems attacking the snow barren Northeast this week ahead of potentially the strongest shot of cold all winter… the old man himself is returning… ECMWF looking bullish with snow next 7 days in the Mid-Atlantic and up the coast to Boston. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] EPS […]
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