Seasonal Forecasts
May has been an incredibly wet, historic month for rainfall throughout the Southern, Central Plains while things are drying out in the East as well as the West Coast. Even here, a persistent upper low has kept the Southwest unusually cool and wet for the time of year. Like in Texas, the rainfall has been historic […]
May has turned out pretty much as expected back on April 23 with a cooler, wetter outcome than the March-April period with little real warmth to speak of. In fact I believe the warmest temperatures was 23/24C, short of the April maximum. Many days during May have been cooler than normal, breezy and showery with longer […]
We’ve seen some wild swings in temperature in recent weeks across the Lower 48 but the one coming could be one of the greatest in many a year! The GFS, while backed off some on overnight lows Fri into Sat across the interior Northeast, still shows 20s and 30s with a crop killing freeze threat. As you […]
In this morning’s video I show you the GFS surface for the upcoming bank holiday weekend and next week. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] In the below write-up, here’s the ECMWF surface which is pretty much consistent with the GFS showing the continued high and low pressure fight. Overall the high wins but there’s an almost daily back […]
Based on what we’ve seen in the last 2-3 weeks with all the rain over the Plains and increasingly dry Southeast, I think the pattern is showing us where the above and below average temperatures are going this summer. With already over a foot of rain in the ground across a broad area of Texas […]
As the equatorial Pacific continues to heat, so the North Atlantic continues to cool and it’s that increasingly ‘colder-than-normal North Atlantic’ that’s catching my attention. Our current and recent past weather pattern here in Western Europe has a predominantly westerly or Atlantic pattern and with our winds blowing off this colder than normal water, we are seeing […]
Through May 12th, here’s how the month is looking temperature wise across the US. Notice that it’s warmest where it was coldest during February and where it’s become pretty dry with NYC seeing the most rain free days since 2001. It’s also been cool where it’s been very wet. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] We see a temporary cold […]
Through the remainder of this week and the weekend, we remain in the battle between Azores high pressure which will dominate the Southern UK and Icelandic low pressure which will influence Northern Ireland and Scotland. Winds will begin easing through today as heights build and with building heights, temps will gradually climb with low 20s […]
As forecast right here on markvoganweather.com, May is turning out to be a cool and wet month with the BBC and Met Office now confirming this. Impressively, Cardiff has seen 125mm of rain through the first 18 days. Their average is just 72mm and keep in mind that’s we’ve over 12 days remaining of May! The […]
A taste of every season continues to rule even into May’s 3rd week all thanks to one spring-like system. Snow in the Dakotas followed by sub-freezing temps tonight. In the warm sector and along the cold front there’s tornado baring severe weather as well as further flash flooding. On the East Coast, temps are rocketing well into the […]
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