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Danny is off and Erika is on and now as a Tropical Storm heading west towards the Lesser Antilles. This system has environment ‘relatively favourable’ for slow intensification over the next couple of days and so significant impacts look likely for the northern Leeward Islands. As for the United States, this is worth watching as the pattern looks conducive […]
Danny continues to punch through a sea of shear and dry air and therefore it continues to weaken, now a 50 mph tropical storm. Hopefully it can hold together enough to bring some much needed rain to the Caribbean Islands. As for the West Pacific, well we’ve two beasts. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Both heading NNE, recurve? […]
Conditions around Danny continue to worsen and as a result the storm continues to weaken as shear and dry air increases, decreasing the sustained winds to 90 mph. Whether Danny weakens into nothing or not, this is a sign of a shift in pattern which is becoming more favourable with waves coming off Africa more and […]
In the last 48 hours, Danny has found an area of calm along with less dry air thus allowing the system to mature becoming the Atlantic’s fourth named storm and within barely the last 24 hours, the first hurricane and first major hurricane too. Current winds are 115 mph. Danny has become a Category 3 storm pretty far south also. The last time we’ve seen a major hurricane as […]
First and foremost, we have Tropical Storm Danny out over the east central Atlantic and showing strong signs of becoming 2015’s first hurricane. Latest visible satellite imagery shows a little eye within Danny. The NHC has this as a hurricane crossing the northern Lesser Antilles early next week. Model spray for Danny. Does this have any threat on the […]
The 2015 Atlantic hurricane season is quiet, NHC has issued its quietest hurricane forecast ever with a 90% chance of a below normal season. The cooler-than normal water through the tropical Atlantic is a small part of the reason. The strongest El Nino since 1997 is one of two major factors, the other is the contrast in warm […]
While a prolonged and deadly heat wave impacts Japan further south, major typhoon Soudelor slams Taiwan and China producing 145 mph wind gusts in Japan’s Ryukyu Islands and dumps over 50 inches of rain in Taiwan. 6 Straight Days Above 35C [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Tokyo Heat Wave Lasted Eight Days, Doubling All-Time Record; 55 Confirmed Dead in Japan By […]
The very system which has dropped 10-30 inches of rain around the Tampa Bay area in the last 3-5 days is now showing signs of life as it skirts the Carolina coast. The visible and infrared satellite view this evening suggests the warm coastal waters and a reduction in mid and high level wind shear is having influence, […]
The heat has been relentless and often unbearable throughout the Middle East. Temperatures are surpassed 120 degrees across the majority of Iraq with AccuWeather claiming that Baghdad has tied it’s all-time record of 124 degrees (51C) yesterday afternoon. However, there is worse down along the coast! Scalding hot, desert air combined with onshore winds blowing off the hottest body of water […]
Within the past 10 days, I posted an article on the gruelling heat wave torturing Iraq. As expected, yet another surge of extreme heat is bringing temperatures widely above 120F, forcing the government to issue it’s second ‘heat holiday’. These were the values reached during the last heat wave. This holiday, like the last is due to the combination […]
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