Mark Vogan
The El Nino casts a shadow over the North American upper air pattern this week as the first major winter storm of the season sweeps into the West and likely to drop 1-2ft over the higher elevations of Montana, Wyoming, Colorado and Utah. Further east, and a monster ridge pumps record warmth north over the Midwest and East through the […]
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November looks increasingly likely to be a mild month and it sure did start off that way yesterday. Before yesterday, you had to rewind all the way back to 1946 for when the UK last enjoyed a day in the 20s (C) during November. The warmest temperature ever recorded during November was 21.7C set in mid Wales. Yesterday […]
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[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Will the upcoming winter of 2015-16 trend the same as the past two with record cold and snow or take a turn to warmer, perhaps more like 1997-98? Keep in mind that no El Nino nor certain sea surface temperature profile produces the same type of weather pattern. The below 2015-16 winter forecast is based on Current and […]
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The below winter 2015-16 forecast for Europe is based on. Global sea surface temperature anomaly Strong El Nino & forecast projection into winter Eurasia snow cover Solar Cycle 24 Trend in NAO/AO during the past year Interesting to note that as of this winter forecast release, today broke a 1946 UK November record with a remarkably mild 22.4C […]
It’s looking like a soggy rather than spooky Halloween weekend for many between Appalachians and Rockies as well as over the drought stricken Pacific Northwest. Here’s the QPF rainfall projection through the next 72 hours. Flooding could be an issue from Texas and Louisiana up to the Great Lakes and from Washington and Oregon east into western […]
For a second straight year, Halloween is hardly scary with another October 31st dominated by mild air and southerly winds. The majority of the UK will be dry and mild through Halloween afternoon and evening. A front lifting north tonight into Halloween will bring spells of rain along with increased breeze but this very front will introduce the next batch of mild Mediterranean air through the second […]
Texas and Louisiana have a second weekend in a row where they’ll have to contend with heavy, persistent, even flooding rains. It just so happens to be Halloween this weekend with many setting out trick or treating. One good thing about this situation compared to last weekend is that we won’t see quite the same […]
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