United States of America
GFS ensemble (51 members) shows a textbook Alaska to Greenland block building through the next 16 days. Heading right for my mid-winter idea. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Here’s a close-up view of North America… couldn’t have drawn these maps better myself. Note where the CORES are, AK & Greenland which means Siberian air gets pulled over the pole […]
I’m not feeling particularly enthusiastic about snow potential in the East with the weekend system but it will be beneficial for Texas. California and it’s drought continues to be pounded but some respite is on the way next week as ridging returns. That ridging marks the beginning of a colder pattern from the Plains to East Coast. […]
There’s more confidence in the late December/start of January period but nailing down the details of the upcoming 7-10 days is a little more tricky. Lot’s of uncertainty and shifting around of solutions to the system which develops over Texas and heads up the coast. How much cold air get’s involved? The reason, it could […]
Despite taking yesterday off, there’s no change in the medium and long range idea. The Arctic Oscillation is ready to go back negative as heights build north. A ‘bridging ridge’ between Alaska and Greenland towards the end of the month could lead to a major cold outbreak for the Lower 48 and not just a cold […]
One model run doesn’t make a forecast but when looking at the new run of the GFS, I must say it got me excited and if you love winter and live in the Midwest and East, well it should get you excited too. It’s been stated for some time now that the period around Christmas towards New […]
California continues to pounded by heavy rain, howling winds and even a TORNADO! Check out this stunning video of a likely tornado ripping off roofs and causing significant damage in South LA. http://youtu.be/P5qV68pw6iU Here’s the set up with split jet as it approaches the West Coast! [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] GFS surface shows the next wave of […]
The strongest storm of the season drives flooding rains and damaging winds through California today. While winds of up to 147 mph roar over ridges near Reno and Lake Tahoe, nearly 9 inches of rain has fallen in the Venado area north of the Bay Area. Widespread flooding has occurred. This was the scene on […]
It’s been said here since summer that California is in for a wetter than normal winter given the global drivers and particularly the warm water stretching from the Baja up to Alaska as well as the El Nino. Last week saw in ONE STORM, more rain fall in San Francisco than ALL of 2013. [s2If […]
It’s another week and another RAINSTORM for California. This looks likely to bring even more rain to California than last week’s. Yes the rain train is going as expected. A pineapple express pattern is in place with long fetch of moisture streaming into California with not 1 but 3 lows. Here’s the latest water vapour […]
There’s a lot going on with the upcoming Northeast snowstorm and California rainstorm but when looking out into the 1-3 week period, boy have we not some exciting indicators starting to reveal themselves. Latest snowfall forecast for the Northeast through 168 hours off ECMWF. NWS in the Bay Area are geared up for a smacking mid […]
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