United Kingdom & Ireland
Scotland After a rather wet start across the southern half of the country, this afternoon has seen some decent sunshine albeit a little cool in the breeze but out of that breeze and you can feel the warmth off the sun. Through tonight any showers die away and remain confined to the NW and clear skies for most […]
Enjoy the warmth while it lasts because we’re about to return to a March-like chill as we head towards the weekend. The NAO has now ‘peaked’ and is now heading back towards a negative signal, promising a chilly first half to May for the UK, Ireland and western Europe while ridging will bring a nice warm-up over […]
Scotland After a wet and breezy night and start to your Tuesday, conditions have improved considerably through this afternoon with decent spells of sunshine to be enjoyed by most. Through tonight and while we see a fairly clear and calm night from the Central Lowlands northwards, it turns into another wet night across the South thanks […]
Scotland A frontal boundary currently splits the UK in two with Scotland on the much cooler and unsettled north side. A stiff westerly wind has been blowing frequent showers across the country through today and by tonight, a more organised area of rain will sweep in from the west bringing a spell of rather wet weather tonight. Winds […]
The temperature climb has begun as highs reach 16C or 60F today over Northeast Scotland while it hit 17C at Murlough, Northern Ireland thanks to strong, downsloping winds. While it stays fairly unsettled across Northern Ireland and much of Scotland over the next few days, Central and Southern England, Wales and Ireland are set to warm further in coming days. Stronger heights and some sunshine […]
The forecast challenge has begun as I have figures I am going to throw at next week. They are, London pushes 23C on Wednesday but as the warmth spreads across southern Britain, the cold regroups across north of the UK and will dive south late week. It’s pretty much a case of going from a positive to negative NAO within […]
A few Friday evening thoughts. We could have quite the temperature swing coming up over the next 7 days as the NAO signal flips from positive to negative and that means a sudden shift from warm to late season cold with hill snow. As expected both of today’s runs of the ECMWF show what I’ve said yesterday and throughout this […]
Next week remains a forecasting headache and there’s nothing clear cut. Again I use the teleconnection between North America and W Europe and how, even with this upcoming period, the warmth currently over the eastern United States needs to be watched as it gets forced out into the Atlantic thanks to a storm crossing the country. It’s as this warm air gets […]
For the past few weeks I’ve been saying about there being an increased chance of seeing a secondary warm spell before we cool down considerably towards months end as the NAO/AO flip back negative. There’s a deffinate battle setting up next week between warm and cool over the UK and Ireland and both the ECMWF and GFS are both agreeing and persistent […]

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