United Kingdom & Ireland
It’s long been known than an increase in high latitude volcanic activity has been linked to an increase in winter blocking and colder winters in the mid-latitude world. We saw an increase in volcanic activity prior to the bitter cold winter of 2009-10 which shivered much of the Northern world including the United States and Great Britain. We are currently and have for […]
The week ahead looks rather different to this past week with a lot of heat spreading north into Europe from Africa. While it looks highly likely we’ll see the first 37C (100F) readings over parts of France and Germany, there’s a lot of uncertainty over exactly how far west that Saharan heat will spread due to the position and […]
The upcoming week looks on track to produce the hottest weather of the year so far for Europe as a major surge of heat lifts north from the Sahara. This is the same surge I showed mid last week which was originally further west. The ECMWF has now corrected east given the blocking of low heights […]
I was on the road all day yesterday so apologies for the lack of posting. Thought I would take a look at the latest CFSv2 for July and August this afternoon and interestingly it is now has showing what I’ve been banging on about for weeks and it’s, a warmer than normal July for much of the UK and Ireland. Finally the CFSv2 is […]
Scotland This afternoon looks rather showery right across the country with clumps of somewhat heavier and more persistent rain in areas (esp over hills), in between those showers some glimmers of brightness should appear here and there. Winds will be fresh to strong in the W and NW. Highs today will be near normal for June 14 at […]
There is a lot of confliction between the ECMWF upper level and low level charts on next week. For the past couple of days now the upper chart has been showing, by far the strongest surge of warmth up into the UK yet while the surface charts continue to show rain and wind producing low pressure. However, up until then the models are in […]
Scotland After a damp, cloudy start to the day, brighter skies are appearing over most areas this afternoon and with that sunshine, temperatures are responding nicely to between 16-18C, locally 20 or 21C along the sheltered Moray Coast. Through tonight and another band of rain will push into Southern areas, perhaps edging into the Central […]
After a damp day across Ireland and much of the UK, a second pulse spreads across Ireland and Northern Ireland tonight into Scotland tomorrow and this promises a decent soaking. A third pulse arrives Wednesday night into Thursday and more rain arrives Friday before a low swings in bringing windier conditions along with the rain. […]
Scotland The much anticipated rain has arrived and it’s a largely damp afternoon for many, particularly in the West and South, somewhat drier and even brighter up into Aberdeenshire and Moray where the warmest temperatures are. Through this evening and the rain eases for a time before the next pulse pushes up from the SW. This […]
Hope you all enjoyed the glorious weekend! It’s the start of a new week and back to reality in terms of the weather. We should be able to squeeze out one last decent day today with morning cloud and light, spotty showers making way to partial sunshine and warming temperatures. Unfortunately the rain is now […]
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