United Kingdom & Ireland
All week it’s been made clear that our approaching wet, windy and cool weather this weekend will be short lived, a mere blip in a more dominant settled, mild or warm pattern. The NAO is a great long range indicator this season thanks to the right soil moisture content and a neutral ENSO. This signal has allowed me to forecast, […]
Scotland Enjoy the beautiful sunshine to end the day as wet and windy weather is approaching western shores. The wet and windy weather is associated with a low pressure system which is set to dominate the weather this weekend and will present ‘typical soggy conditions for the Royal Highland Show at Ingliston. Lows tonight, no lower than 10-13C, winds fresh […]
While things go down hill tomorrow night as a rather vigorous Atlantic low swings a front across Ireland and the UK bringing not only unseasonable cool but wind will be unusually brisk for this late in June too. Wet weather will also accompany those strong winds of course. After a spell of wet and windy […]
Scotland It’s been a warm, muggy afternoon with the best of the sunshine across the South with hazy sun breaking through across the western Central Lowlands too and where that sun was out, highs managed at least 22C. This evening will see light and patchy rain that’s been hanging west and north of Glasgow spread east while […]
I wrote an article a few years ago stating that the flip in the long term UK summer pattern from warmer, drier to cooler, wetter can be traced back to 2007. The summer of 2006 was hot and dry, producing the UK’s hottest July temperature on record while the summer which followed, turned out to be the second wettest on record. The possible […]
Scotland From the southern Highlands down through the Central Lowlands into the Southern Uplands, it’s a fine afternoon with pleasant warmth and highs peaking at around 17-20, locally 21, perhaps 22C. From the southern Highlands on north it’s very different with cloudy skies along with some light and patchy rain. Windiest in the Northwest but […]
Scotland After a warm, muggy afternoon across Scotland with highs widely in the 18-21C range, this evening will be largely uneventful with sunshine giving way to starry skies. Lows tonight dip no lower than 8-10C for most, a few sheltered spots may dip to 6 or 7C with mist and fog. Wednesday is looking much the same […]
Scotland This week is looking rather different compared to last week with much more settled, drier weather with more sunshine and warmer temperatures. Through this evening it’s quiet pretty much everywhere with temperatures staying mild, only dropping to around 12 or 13C in towns and cities, a touch cooler in rural areas. Patchy mist and fog is likely in some sheltered areas. Tomorrow, like today […]
It’s all thanks to a large upper low diving south into Iberia which will be responsible for bringing the first hot surge into the Northern European Coastal Plain or Lowlands. However, the combination of hot, very humid air and a warm front associated with the southward departing low will create a highly unstable atmosphere and likely to spark powerful thunderstorms […]

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