United Kingdom & Ireland
Before you read, I would encourage some caution because this is not me forecasting a late November cold outbreak but more showing you some optimistic model output. More what the atmosphere may be showing and where it may want to head ‘periodically’ through the upcoming winter season. What’s quite interesting is the models didn’t really […]
Back a few days ago the models were suggesting a really poor weekend for bonfires and fireworks displays, however, despite the rapid arrival of these heavy rain and moderate wind baring depressions, there looks to be good timing in the passing of these fronts. Today, it’s wet and breezy but the latest front clears later this […]
It’s turned considerably more unsettled across the UK, Ireland and Northwest Europe this week thanks to a pretty significant shift in the upper pattern. This has brought an abrupt end to our sustained spell of dry, settled weather and in response, storm and flood weary southern Europe catches a proper break. The jet stream has lost it’s split […]
It’s that time of your when folks typically wrap-up and head out with the kids to watch a local bonfire and fireworks display. For Guy Fawkes night 2015, you’ll probably need to wrap up but not so much for the cold but for wet and windy conditions that are likely to affect much of the UK during Thursday. […]
Warmest open to a November in Europe weather history? The sea of warm air covering our continent may bring joy to some, especially in the sheltered sunnier spots but misery for others as widespread fog causes headaches for thousands trying to fly in and out of many of the worlds busiest airport hubs. We had an impressive […]
November looks increasingly likely to be a mild month and it sure did start off that way yesterday. Before yesterday, you had to rewind all the way back to 1946 for when the UK last enjoyed a day in the 20s (C) during November. The warmest temperature ever recorded during November was 21.7C set in mid Wales. Yesterday […]
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The below winter 2015-16 forecast for Europe is based on. Global sea surface temperature anomaly Strong El Nino & forecast projection into winter Eurasia snow cover Solar Cycle 24 Trend in NAO/AO during the past year Interesting to note that as of this winter forecast release, today broke a 1946 UK November record with a remarkably mild 22.4C […]
For a second straight year, Halloween is hardly scary with another October 31st dominated by mild air and southerly winds. The majority of the UK will be dry and mild through Halloween afternoon and evening. A front lifting north tonight into Halloween will bring spells of rain along with increased breeze but this very front will introduce the next batch of mild Mediterranean air through the second […]
This morning’s visible satellite image shows a large low encompassing a large area of the North Atlantic and it’s associated cold front draped over the British Isles. The strong high pressure system in the east is very evident with the absence of cloud over the Baltic states, Ukraine, Bulgaria and Romania. Here’s the surface view […]
After a reasonably tranquil Sep/Oct, the upper pattern is shifting with more milder influence from west and south as milder, moister air ends the month and looks to stick around through November’s first half looks. The reason for this shift is the AO/NAO which after being predominantly negative through the summer into early autumn, is, as expected turning positive. This will allow the […]
Recent Comments