United Kingdom & Ireland
The seeds to a warm, wet, zonal December have been sown. We have an on going cooling of the polar stratosphere at all levels which will bundle the coldest air within the arctic circle through much of this month. This draws warmer air from subtropics into mid-latitudes and powers a stronger than normal jet stream across Pacific, North America, Atlantic […]
Today marks the start of the coldest 90 days of the year. Meteorological Winter has begun. Will it be one to remember or forget? It was certainly a cold, frosty, icy and for some, SNOWY open to meteorological winter 2015-16 but today ends significantly milder as a surge of warmer air lifts northward, courtesy of the latest Atlantic system. […]
There’s a very distinct north-south boundary separating cold arctic air with mild subtropical air for both the United Kingdom as well as Europe. This gradient continues to fuel a very powerful jet that’s transporting system which have originated over North America, even the Pacific and this active, turbulent pattern looks set to stay. This morning, the below satellite view over […]
It’s a rough Sunday across Ireland, UK and near continent from France to Norway as very strong, gusty winds affect millions along with heavy and frequent showers over particularly Northern Ireland, N England and Scotland. These showers have been particularly problematic when accompanied by gusts over 60 mph which have fallen as snow over Scotland leading to blizzard conditions. An area of […]
Thanks to the abnormally mild, humid, cloudy SW flow through the first 20 days of the month, it looks as though the UK has seen a top 5 warm November. Helped by the fact we experienced both the warmest day (22C) and night (16C) on record. Warm, moist air with a lot of cloud cover means nights […]
This years powerful El Nino is clearly influencing the global weather pattern as we approach winter with models distinctly showing a weak northern branch and much more pronounced southern branch. It’s also about as zonal of a flow pattern as you get. Notice how it’s strong and flat lined right around the northern hemisphere in the below GFS […]
Rather than writing individual write-ups for Europe and US today I wanted to share this interesting read from Dr Judah Cohen. He sheds detail on the Arctic Oscillation, where we’re at and where we may be heading…. This complies to Europe/North America and Globe. Below article source: http://www.aer.com/science-research/climate-weather/arctic-oscillation AER scientists provide researchers and enthusiasts real-time insights […]
Despite the ‘chilly’ conditions covering much of continental Europe and your typical ‘in between low pressure frosts’ over the UK, there’s consistency in the models for a mild, zonal December pattern not just for Europe but throughout the mid-latitudes of the hemisphere. The recent southward plunge of arctic air will gradually decay in the coming days as […]
Maritime Atlantic air has kicked the arctic air out of UK and now is now in the process of pushing it out of France and the Low Countries but not before snow and hard frosts bring the coldest starts of the season. The front has been pushing through metro Paris this morning where a cold rain is currently falling but further east […]
Despite the current cold blast with snow for some, frost for most, November 2015 will wind up well above normal temperature and precipitation wise, a complete flip from September and October’s tranquility. This turnaround in November was forecasted here since back in late summer as I strongly stated that the same drivers in summer, provide a […]
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