Winter 2016/17

Models Firm Up On A Stormy Christmas Weekend Over UK & Ireland!

Written by on December 18, 2016 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland, Winter 2016/17 with 0 Comments
Models Firm Up On A Stormy Christmas Weekend Over UK & Ireland!

Up until now our weather has been fairly quiet despite being Atlantic influenced. This quiet spell is all about to change as we head through the all important Christmas week. Waves of frigid arctic air are sweeping off North America out over the Atlantic is firing a super charged jet stream, helping develop lows into major storm systems. Ireland and […]

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Boston Shivers To Coldest December Low Since ’89 While Mt Washington Is Coldest Since ’93

Written by on December 16, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2016/17 with 0 Comments
Boston Shivers To Coldest December Low Since ’89 While Mt Washington Is Coldest Since ’93

The pattern was on a warm repeat cycle from August through November and now appears to be on a cold one, albeit shorter duration with arctic wave then snowstorm followed by another arctic wave followed by another snowstorm and then the coldest air mass of the 3 sweeps in Sunday! Before we look at the snow and following cold, […]

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Hemispheric ZONAL Pattern To Intensify As Polar Stratosphere Recovers From Weak State

Written by on December 16, 2016 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland, Winter 2016/17 with 0 Comments
Hemispheric ZONAL Pattern To Intensify As Polar Stratosphere Recovers From Weak State

The polar vortex has been weak but is now in a state of recover at 10mb over the next 10 days. This coincides with a positive AO/NAO as we go through the 2nd half of December. This correlates to a more zonal hemispheric flow pattern and so North America and Europe become strongly influenced by Pacific and Atlantic. Enjoy the […]

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MIDWEST/NORTHEAST US: Bitter Cold Then Snow Then Even Colder This Weekend!

Written by on December 15, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2016/17 with 0 Comments
MIDWEST/NORTHEAST US: Bitter Cold Then Snow Then Even Colder This Weekend!

The Northern Tier is in the midst of arctic wave 2 of 3 with the best saved till last this weekend. Ice covered barge enters Duluth ship canal yesterday morning. With a ridge position near or over Alaska and a low containing a piece of the polar vortex on the west shore of Hudson Bay, waves of frigid air […]

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TURKEY: Crippling Snowstorm Gets Replaced By Bitter Siberian Air With Shot At -30C

Written by on December 15, 2016 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland, Winter 2016/17 with 0 Comments
TURKEY: Crippling Snowstorm Gets Replaced By Bitter Siberian Air With Shot At -30C

As forecast, central and eastern Turkey has been hammered by a major snowstorm and now it’s all about the bitter cold following in it’s wake as surface pressure builds to 1030mb. GFS snow cover. A solid 15-30, locally 40″ on the ground within the mountains of the east. Incredible snow scenes. Bingol, E Turkey High pressure […]

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Steeper US Temp Gradient Shall Enhance Trans-Atlantic Jet & UK-Bound Storms Next Week

Written by on December 14, 2016 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland, Winter 2016/17 with 0 Comments
Steeper US Temp Gradient Shall Enhance Trans-Atlantic Jet & UK-Bound Storms Next Week

Up until now, our Atlantic pattern has been rather subdued, largely down to a strong blocking high over Europe combined with weak to modest strength jet which has been easy to split on approach the Ireland. However, it looks like things are about to liven up during next week as arctic wave 3 of 3 descends upon the eastern […]

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An Extreme Pre-Christmas Winter Pattern Across U.S Following A Record Warm Fall

Written by on December 13, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2016/17 with 0 Comments
An Extreme Pre-Christmas Winter Pattern Across U.S Following A Record Warm Fall

There’s a lot going on, so thought I would share these interesting posts from weather.com Back-to-Back Arctic Blasts Will Send Midwest, Northeast into a Deep Freeze Through the Weekend By Chris Dolce Published Dec 13 2016 01:43 PM EST weather.com Story Highlights Two more shots of arctic air will sweep through the nation’s northern tier […]

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Where’s Winter? Over Much Of Europe… Turkey Braces For 40″+ Snowfall, Blizzard Conditions Followed By -20sC

Written by on December 13, 2016 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland, Winter 2016/17 with 0 Comments
Where’s Winter? Over Much Of Europe… Turkey Braces For 40″+ Snowfall, Blizzard Conditions Followed By -20sC

Live in the UK or Ireland and wondering where winter is, well there’s plenty of it over the continent. We’ve a big high dominating with Siberian air trapped beneath. With HP to the east and LP to the west, the UK finds itself trapped under a mild, moist southerly flow with little eastward progression in this dreary […]

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GFS Goes Wild With Midwest Weekend Cold, -20s Minneapolis, -10s Chicago

Written by on December 12, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2016/17 with 0 Comments
GFS Goes Wild With Midwest Weekend Cold, -20s Minneapolis, -10s Chicago

Now this would be something for the weekend! Sat morn. Sun morn Mon morn Temps in Minneapolis has not hit -24 since the January 2004 outbreak. Watch this morning’s video.

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Weak, Semi-Warm Stratosphere Makes Xmas/New Year/Early January Uncertain But Leaning Cold

Written by on December 12, 2016 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland, Winter 2016/17 with 0 Comments
Weak, Semi-Warm Stratosphere Makes Xmas/New Year/Early January Uncertain But Leaning Cold

The GFS ensemble continues to show the large warm pool at 50hpa shifting from Northern Greenland to Scandinavia and towards the northern Europe-Asia border by day 10. This would be a similar position to what we saw back in October-November. This to me reflects a Scandinavia high pressure blocking pattern. Favourable for at least some easterly flow […]

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