Winter 2014/15
There’s more confidence in the late December/start of January period but nailing down the details of the upcoming 7-10 days is a little more tricky. Lot’s of uncertainty and shifting around of solutions to the system which develops over Texas and heads up the coast. How much cold air get’s involved? The reason, it could […]
The current up and down pattern looks to remain through Christmas Day with the models pushing a low across (just north of Scotland) Christmas Day which could drive enough Greenland source air behind to make for a chilly day with snow showers pushing across the Northern UK. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The best chance of a ‘white […]
Despite taking yesterday off, there’s no change in the medium and long range idea. The Arctic Oscillation is ready to go back negative as heights build north. A ‘bridging ridge’ between Alaska and Greenland towards the end of the month could lead to a major cold outbreak for the Lower 48 and not just a cold […]
I am becoming increasingly optimistic and excited about the end of December, beginning of January period as the models keep showing what all winter lovers want to see, a -NAO/AO with blocking highs over both Alaska and Greenland which hook up resulting in twin negatives underneath. IMAGE CREDIT: William Smith [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Up till now we’ve […]
One model run doesn’t make a forecast but when looking at the new run of the GFS, I must say it got me excited and if you love winter and live in the Midwest and East, well it should get you excited too. It’s been stated for some time now that the period around Christmas towards New […]
I see little change in this cold, unsettled NORTHWEST driven pattern for UK and near continent next 10 days or so but as we head towards Christmas and particularly New Year/early January, I like what the models are beginning to see. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] CFSv2 week 3 and 4 as shown in the video shows building […]
California continues to pounded by heavy rain, howling winds and even a TORNADO! Check out this stunning video of a likely tornado ripping off roofs and causing significant damage in South LA. http://youtu.be/P5qV68pw6iU Here’s the set up with split jet as it approaches the West Coast! [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] GFS surface shows the next wave of […]
Despite a still ATLANTIC pattern and firmly positive NAO, winter has definitely made it’s presence felt across a large swathe of Ireland, UK and parts of the near continent. The northwest flow has become more pronounced following the big low of a few days ago. Snowfall has become pretty substantial above 2-300m with ice and dusting to […]
Across northern areas of the Republic, Northern Ireland and the UK, it’s been another cold, windy and snowy day with more thunder, lightning and hail thrown in for good measure. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] While further snow showers pile in from a more northerly direction over Scotland with a significant ice risk developing tonight, it’s all eyes on […]
The storm is hitting and for some it’s hitting hard. Here it’s been very windy borderline stormy but nothing new for winter. What I will say is that the waves generated by this thing are impressive. It’s also a cold storm with icy gales not the mild gales of last year. We’ve seen blizzard conditions […]
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