Summer 2015
The 2015 Atlantic hurricane season is quiet, NHC has issued its quietest hurricane forecast ever with a 90% chance of a below normal season. The cooler-than normal water through the tropical Atlantic is a small part of the reason. The strongest El Nino since 1997 is one of two major factors, the other is the contrast in warm […]
In today’s post I wanted to share with you an interesting article I came across on Netweather.tv. A theory about a very possible connection between El Nino and European heat waves. Given that I base my own forecasts on connections with major global drivers such as El Nino and SSTA’s, I very much believe there’s […]
When it comes to Texas in 2015, the El Nino gives then takes. It’s been about as extreme as it gets when it comes to flips in weather pattern. After a record wet and therefore cool April, May and for some, June too, the weather flipped big time to a dry and therefore hot July and […]
An unusually strong upper ridge has been dominated across Europe for much of the 2015 summer and in the last 5 days, the latest heat burst has been shifting north from France through Germany and now all the way into the Baltic countries. This past weekend for many across the Southern UK and a large […]
Well the GFS has hands down beaten the ECMWF on Bertha’s track as well as intensity, deepening from 1001mb off SW Britain to now nearer 978mb off Aberdeen. As Bertha tracked NNE the system continued to deepen as seen by the GFS with wind speeds and rainfall increasing. The combination of Highland topography and very warm water (compared to normal) over […]
While a prolonged and deadly heat wave impacts Japan further south, major typhoon Soudelor slams Taiwan and China producing 145 mph wind gusts in Japan’s Ryukyu Islands and dumps over 50 inches of rain in Taiwan. 6 Straight Days Above 35C [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Tokyo Heat Wave Lasted Eight Days, Doubling All-Time Record; 55 Confirmed Dead in Japan By […]
The focus of heat has been over central and eastern Europe this month with all-time records being challenged in Berlin, Warsaw and several other central and eastern cities. There’s is a definite connection between and hot Europe and El Nino. If we go back over the years, 1994, 1998, 2003, 2006, 2015, all produced MAJOR heat during the summer […]
UPDATED: Sat Aug 8: In summer, in Texas, when dry, you fry! A very dry July has set the stage for a hot start to August. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT…CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 838 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015 …VERY DRY CONDITIONS DEVELOPED ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS IN JULY… NOTE…CORRECTIONS WERE MADE TO THE […]
Live in Scotland, Ireland or northern England, take note, it looks like we’ve FINALLY got some warm and more settled weather coming next week.. Yippy! As for the here and now first, well it’s a decent Friday for most with sun and scattered showers. Remaining cool for NI Ireland and Scotland but the warmth is […]
As pointed out in the summer forecast issued back on April 1, strong El Nino summers often turn drier and warmer in Texas during August and September and sure enough it’s turning drier and at this time of year that means only one thing, warmer! I recall my first ever trip to the US and it […]
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