Summer 2015
Conditions around Danny continue to worsen and as a result the storm continues to weaken as shear and dry air increases, decreasing the sustained winds to 90 mph. Whether Danny weakens into nothing or not, this is a sign of a shift in pattern which is becoming more favourable with waves coming off Africa more and […]
We’ve got a fascinating weekend of weather ahead with big contrasts now underway between Northwest Scotland and Southeast England. In between, a seemingly innocuous stalled front draped from Cornwall to Northumberland is now lighting up as the thermal gradient over the UK increases. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Hot, humid air lifting out of France and bumping up against […]
In the last 48 hours, Danny has found an area of calm along with less dry air thus allowing the system to mature becoming the Atlantic’s fourth named storm and within barely the last 24 hours, the first hurricane and first major hurricane too. Current winds are 115 mph. Danny has become a Category 3 storm pretty far south also. The last time we’ve seen a major hurricane as […]
We have a strengthening negative NAO pattern developing in which an eastern Canada-Greenland-Scandinavian blocking high joins forces and locks in a deep trough underneath. Because high pressure extends south of Greenland and south of Scandinavia into southern and southwestern Europe, the UK sits beneath the eastern flank of the low in which embedded lows shall rotate around […]
It’s been a fairly decent week overall with plenty of warm sunshine on offer and it’s felt more like it should for the time of year across Northern Ireland and Scotland. In the sunshine yesterday, temperatures reached 24.4C in Northwest Highland Scotland and despite the cloud today, it remains fairly muggy as an Icelandic low draws […]
First and foremost, we have Tropical Storm Danny out over the east central Atlantic and showing strong signs of becoming 2015’s first hurricane. Latest visible satellite imagery shows a little eye within Danny. The NHC has this as a hurricane crossing the northern Lesser Antilles early next week. Model spray for Danny. Does this have any threat on the […]
Well, the medium to long range period is becoming harder to forecast. We’re about to enter a transitional period where summer wanes and autumn begins. Always a challenging time for forecasting. Especially when we’re experiencing such a strong El Nino and we have such a chilly AMO. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Following a spell of relatively settled […]
During the summer months when forecasting US weather, one must watch what’s going on the other side of the Pacific and when there’s typhoons, we pay particular attention. The Pacific has indeed been very active this year, largely down to the strong El Nino and warm PDO. The development of typhoons is one thing but […]
Over the next 48 hours we will have our weather coming in from both sides. In from the North Sea (today) and from Atlantic (tomorrow) and so today’s sunshine and relative warmth in the West means a cool, steady rain in the East, expect the opposite tomorrow as the eastern front (associated with the Scandinavian blocking high) fades, then allows for an Atlantic front, […]
A large and deepening low crossing southern Canada has caused a sharp drop in temperatures over the N Plains with Pierre, SD going from 104 Saturday to the 60s today. As for points further east within the SW flow and strong August sun, temps are on the rise with widespread 90s up and down the East […]
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