Seasonal Forecasts

FRIGID NIGHT FOLLOWS 2FT SNOWS, STORMY SPELL FOR PACIFIC NORTHWEST, NICOLE THREATENS BERMUDA

Written by on October 11, 2016 in Autumn 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments
FRIGID NIGHT FOLLOWS 2FT SNOWS, STORMY SPELL FOR PACIFIC NORTHWEST, NICOLE THREATENS BERMUDA

This is the result of the latest system crossing Montana in the last 36 hours! Glacier National Park These we’re the predicted totals. A chilly high settling over the fresh snow cover means a cold night ahead! [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Pacific Northwest Face Series Of Storms! Latest visible satellite loop shows the storms approaching. Meanwhile in […]

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EUROPE: A COMPLICATED 6-10 DAY PATTERN WITH COLD EAST, WARMING WEST!

Written by on October 11, 2016 in Autumn 2016, Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
EUROPE: A COMPLICATED 6-10 DAY PATTERN WITH COLD EAST, WARMING WEST!

[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Ok, so we continue to endure that nagging easterly wind with hefty, gusty showers piling in off the North Sea. By late week and through the weekend, a low sliding underneath the Scandinavia block in over Iberia will spread it’s cloud and rain northwards over the UK and so we can expect a more rainy period […]

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NORTHEAST: COLDEST AIR OF WHAT’S BEEN A WARM FALL SO FAR FOLLOWS MATTHEW

Written by on October 10, 2016 in Autumn 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments
NORTHEAST: COLDEST AIR OF WHAT’S BEEN A WARM FALL SO FAR FOLLOWS MATTHEW

Despite the return of sunshine, the Carolinas continue to battle the floods in the wake of Matthew, check out some of these images. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Up until now there’s been little talk of cold weather across the Eastern half of the country but in the wake of Matthew, interior frost and freezing conditions have arrived. Today […]

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STRENGHENING NICOLE MAY BRING ATLANTIC WEATHER BACK TO W EUROPE NEXT WEEK

Written by on October 10, 2016 in Autumn 2016, Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
STRENGHENING NICOLE MAY BRING ATLANTIC WEATHER BACK TO W EUROPE NEXT WEEK

[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The large scale pattern remains much the same through the remainder of this week with only suttle changes. Those changes are all courtesy of an undercutting low pushing into Iberia which increases the pressure gradient between high and low, so winds from the ESE steadily pick up over the UK and within the shower clouds streaming in off the North Sea, it […]

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LIVE UPDATES: MATTHEW’S DIRECT INFLUENCE DISSIPATES BUT IMPACTS WILL LIVE ON FOR DAYS & WEEKS!

LIVE UPDATES: MATTHEW’S DIRECT INFLUENCE DISSIPATES BUT IMPACTS WILL LIVE ON FOR DAYS & WEEKS!

THIS POST WILL BE UPDATED THROUGHOUT TODAY! Sunday 8pm (UK time) Striking images and further recap from Hurricane Matthew Hattaras Village, NC A1A in Flagler Beach, FL wiped out! And in Summer Haven, FL Brunswick, GA Norfolk, VA Lumberton, NC Rainfall totals from the past 3 days Facts and Records from Hurricane Matthew From Phil Klotzbach Sunday […]

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JUDAH COHEN: INFLUENCES OF OCTOBER -AO & RAPID SIBERIAN SNOW ADVANCE

JUDAH COHEN: INFLUENCES OF OCTOBER -AO & RAPID SIBERIAN SNOW ADVANCE

This latest write-up from Dr Judah Cohen ties in nicely and adds greater detail to my recent posts touching on the importance of Siberia/Eurasia snow cover growth and upcoming winter. Arctic Oscillation and Polar Vortex Analysis and Forecasts October 7, 2016 Special blog on winter retrospective can be found here – http://www.aer.com/winter2016 Dr. Judah Cohen from Atmospheric and Environmental Research (AER) recently […]

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-AO HELPING INCREASE SNOW COVER AND DEEPEN COLD OVER EURASIA

Written by on October 7, 2016 in Autumn 2016, Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
-AO HELPING INCREASE SNOW COVER AND DEEPEN COLD OVER EURASIA

[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] An anomalous negative AO pattern by early October standards is helping bring a fast start to winter across Siberia. Yes winter starts late September/early October in Arctic Russia but the current -AO is helping get the winter wheels in motion faster, stronger and ahead of this time last year. First snow of the season for Omsk, Russia. Parts of Poland woke […]

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-AO HELPING EXPAND SIBERIAN SNOWPACK FASTER THAN LAST YEAR & KEEP EUROPE CHILLY

Written by on October 6, 2016 in Autumn 2016, Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
-AO HELPING EXPAND SIBERIAN SNOWPACK FASTER THAN LAST YEAR & KEEP EUROPE CHILLY

Here’s a positive indicator. Siberian snowpack is growing faster as of October 1 this year compared to last. Thank a strongly negative Arctic Oscillation. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Expect snow cover throughout Eurasia to continue expanding westward. That negative Arctic Oscillation is helping feed some pretty chilly early season Arctic Russian air across Europe beneath a sprawling Scandinavia blocking high. […]

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HURRICANE MATTHEW: HAITI, EASTERN CUBA DEVASTATED, BAHAMAS & FLORIDA UP NEXT!

HURRICANE MATTHEW: HAITI, EASTERN CUBA DEVASTATED, BAHAMAS & FLORIDA UP NEXT!

After slamming Haiti then Cuba as a Category 4, Hurricane Matthew is back over very warm open water and after weakening slightly due to land interaction, has re-intensified this morning and is expected to further intensify as it pushes through the Bahamas. Scenes from a storm devastated Haiti. Cuba is no better! This is Baracoa. Matthew Expected To […]

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MATTHEW TO ENHANCE NORTHERN EUROPE BLOCKING & COLD PATTERN INTO NEXT WEEK

MATTHEW TO ENHANCE NORTHERN EUROPE BLOCKING & COLD PATTERN INTO NEXT WEEK

We are firmly under the influence of a monster Scandinavia ridge and will continue to be through the upcoming weekend. A low running the SE flank and drifting into Poland will enhance the ENE flow and while likely bringing snowfall to some, I expect chillier air to reach the UK late week as the nagging […]

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