Seasonal Forecasts
After what was a very warm September, the current Scandinavian blocking high is favouring a cold October for much of Europe. The core of the high reached 1050mb at the surface over Sweden this morning. A low drifting WSW on the underside of the high is pulling Arctic Russia sourced air into the heat of Europe. […]
Matthew has made landfall on Haiti’s Tiburon peninsula, 20 miles west of Les Cayes as a Category 4, 145 mph Hurricane. Wind gusts likely exceeding 160 mph… Sadly this is an unfolding disaster! First images coming out of Haiti. This area outlined by Jim Cantore is likely to get wiped out! Steep, deforested terrain highly susceptible to mudslides, enhanced rainfall through […]
Well Matthew continues to approach Jamaica and Hispaniola with fluctuating intensity with wobbling. This is what you would expect with such a large, powerful hurricane. Here’s the latest stats. Latest visible satellite loop. We could well see this re-strengthen a little prior to some weakening due to land interaction but I’m afraid no matter what, this has […]
The upper air pattern turns much more meridional or amplified this week as a Scandinavian blocking high builds and expands. The core of this huge high nears 1050mb this week. It’s affects are being felt throughout the UK and Ireland and as far east of Russia and Kazakhstan. This large boulder in the upper air stream reroutes […]
Published: Sep 29 2016 10:00 PM EDT By Jonathan Belles weather.com When spoken in the same sentence, the words ‘hurricane’ and ‘Haiti’ often create cold sweats and an abundance of worry in the minds of the nation’s residents, meteorologists and weather observers alike. Haiti is one of the most fragile hurricane-prone countries on the planet. […]
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] There’s a lot of question marks and complexity surrounding the upcoming winter of 2016-17 for Europe. There’s nothing clear cut when forecasting winters here but this year is particularly challenging. Sure, the El Nino ruled last year but post El Nino winters have been known to have quite the sting but the ENSO […]
UPDATE: Dropsonde observations from the recon flight suggests Matthew is intensifying tonight. Heading for Cat 5 again? Latest microwave imagery showing a secondary eyewall forming, suggesting eyewall replacement cycle is imminent? ORIGINAL POST As you awake this morning, Matthew was and remains a powerful Category 4 hurricane but for a time overnight he revved up to rare Cat […]
Following the frequent showers of today across England and Wales, tonight looks to be Scotland and Northern Ireland’s coolest since spring thanks to the sunshine of today giving way to starry skies tonight. Clear sky, light wind, a cool air mass and nights now longer than days all contribute to much more effective radiational cooling. Rural areas will dip into low single figures […]
Located just 75 miles to the north of Punta Gallinas, Colombia, Matthew has become a monster 140 mph Category 4 hurricane and poses a grave threat to Jamaica, Hispaniola, Cuba and likely the Bahamas thereafter. Visible, Infrared and microwave imagery is simply stunning with the below loops showing the rapid intensification process. Latest microwave scan of […]
From Met Office Despite a mixture of weather across the UK, two warm spells around the 9th and 13th of the month have helped boost temperatures, with this September on track to be the second or third warmest for the UK since records began in 1910. Provisional stats up until 27 September show the mean […]
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