Seasonal Forecasts

A LOOK BACK: EX-HURRICANE BERTHA

Written by on September 30, 2016 in Autumn 2016, Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
A LOOK BACK: EX-HURRICANE BERTHA

FROM MET OFFICE From Sunday 10 to Monday 11 August 2014, the UK experienced some unseasonably windy and very wet weather from the remnants of ex-hurricane Bertha. Some locations in north-east Scotland received double the August long-term average rainfall, resulting in significant flooding problems. Parts of eastern England were also affected by this storm. Impacts […]

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ANOTHER TASTE OF FALL COMING FOR WEST, MATTHEW NEARS HURRICANE STRENGTH

Written by on September 29, 2016 in Autumn 2016, Tropical, United States of America with 0 Comments
ANOTHER TASTE OF FALL COMING FOR WEST, MATTHEW NEARS HURRICANE STRENGTH

Tropical Storm Matthew continues to strengthen heading westward. Likely to become a hurricane tonight.   A change in the upper air pattern next week with another taste of fall with heavy snows for the mountains with widespread 5-10F below normal temperatures.   Experiencing technical issues which means I am unable to post a video today. FEATURED […]

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TYPICAL AUTUMN FOR IRELAND/UK, NO TWO DAYS THE SAME

Written by on September 29, 2016 in Autumn 2016, Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
TYPICAL AUTUMN FOR IRELAND/UK, NO TWO DAYS THE SAME

Severe gales are pulling away from mainland Scotland and focusing on the Northern Isles now as the low departs. FEATURED IMAGE CREDIT: Jamie Ormiston ‏@Jamieo_edu [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The current undulating or wavy Atlantic jet stream is making for a ‘no two days are the same’ scenario with the current low exiting and another approaching Ireland and focusing on England and […]

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MATTHEW COULD BECOME MAJOR HURRICANE & THREATEN US, SOAKING BEGINS IN EAST

Written by on September 28, 2016 in Autumn 2016, Tropical, United States of America with 0 Comments
MATTHEW COULD BECOME MAJOR HURRICANE & THREATEN US, SOAKING BEGINS IN EAST

[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] First and foremost, Tropical Storm Matthew is born after the hurricane hunters found a closed low level circulation and winds of 60 mph this morning. This storm will become a hurricane as it continues moving westward in a favourable environment, steered by an upper ridge to the north. The United States should pay […]

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BABY VOGAN NUMBER 2 ON THE WAY…

Written by on September 28, 2016 in Autumn 2016, Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 2 Comments
BABY VOGAN NUMBER 2 ON THE WAY…

I am delighted to announce that my wife Karen and I are expecting our second child. This morning’s 20 week scan went well and baby and mum are doing just great. Due in February!

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TURBULENT END TO SEPTEMBER: 24C IN SOUTHEAST FOLLOWED BY 70-80 MPH GUSTS IN NORTHWEST

Written by on September 28, 2016 in Autumn 2016, Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
TURBULENT END TO SEPTEMBER: 24C IN SOUTHEAST FOLLOWED BY 70-80 MPH GUSTS IN NORTHWEST

Lively Atlantic systems are sweeping in one after the other these days with yesterday seeing severe gales in the Northwest Highlands. The next low moves in tonight bringing an initial spell of wind and persistent rain followed behind by a rash of showers and very windy conditions, especially in Western areas of Scotland. Ahead of […]

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MULTI-DAY EAST COAST RAIN ACCOMPANIED BY COOLEST AIR IN MONTHS FOR SOUTHEAST

Written by on September 27, 2016 in Autumn 2016, Tropical, United States of America with 0 Comments
MULTI-DAY EAST COAST RAIN ACCOMPANIED BY COOLEST AIR IN MONTHS FOR SOUTHEAST

After weeks of seemingly never ending summer, we have our first true refreshing air making it all the way to the Southeast thanks to a cut off upper low drifting down over the Ohio Valley eventually make it into the Southeast. This will make for the coolest air since May for many. The upper low cut […]

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EUROPE: NO SIGN OF COLD OR SNOW ON THE HORIZON

Written by on September 27, 2016 in Autumn 2016, Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
EUROPE: NO SIGN OF COLD OR SNOW ON THE HORIZON

Not much snow to talk about through the next 10 days across Europe. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Super El Nino powered warmth typically takes time to weaken and shrink and so the warm open to meteorological autumn is likely to continue for much of North America and Europe. Both GFS ensemble and CFSv2 indicate the continuation of an unsettled […]

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COMPLETING BRITAIN’S TOP 6 WITH BRAERIACH, SGOR AN LOCHAIN UAINE, CAIRN TOUL

COMPLETING BRITAIN’S TOP 6 WITH BRAERIACH, SGOR AN LOCHAIN UAINE, CAIRN TOUL

In July I summited Ben Macdui (2nd highest). In August, Ben Nevis (highest). Just two weeks after on August 30, 2016 I’m heading back up the A9 in the dark hours of night aiming to summit Britain’s 3rd, 4th and 5th highest, Braeriach, Cairn Toul and Sgor an Lochain Uaine respectively. With the ascent of Cairngorm on the same day of climbing […]

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97L BRINGS RARE THREAT TO VENEZUELA, ARUBA, PATTERN & HOT GULF/ATLANTIC LEAVES US VULNERABLE…

97L BRINGS RARE THREAT TO VENEZUELA, ARUBA, PATTERN & HOT GULF/ATLANTIC LEAVES US VULNERABLE…

This is a very interesting pattern we’re in with a boiling Gulf and Atlantic, active tropics and increasingly favourable US pattern that could attract storms and or hurricanes to the coast. In the past week, waters in the Gulf and up the Atlantic seaboard have warmed and widely running 2-4F above normal. The pattern and warm water makes […]

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