Seasonal Forecasts

TROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE PATTERN KEEPING UK & WESTERN EUROPE ON THE MILD SIDE

Written by on September 26, 2016 in Autumn 2016, Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 1 Comment
TROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE PATTERN KEEPING UK & WESTERN EUROPE ON THE MILD SIDE

The large-scale weather pattern continues to crank into autumn gear with strengthening jet and deeper lows in which Ireland and the British Isles are in the firing line. The one factor I would say that isn’t so autumnal just yet is the temperature. The active storm track continues to favour warmer than normal but the […]

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JUDAH COHEN: Arctic Oscillation Analysis and Forecasts

JUDAH COHEN: Arctic Oscillation Analysis and Forecasts

A great read! Source http://www.aer.com/science-research/climate-weather/arctic-oscillation September 19, 2016 Special blog on winter retrospective can be found here – http://www.aer.com/winter2016 Dr. Judah Cohen from Atmospheric and Environmental Research (AER) recently embarked on an experimental process of regular research, review, and analysis of the Arctic Oscillation (AO). This analysis is intended to provide researchers and practitioners real-time insights on one of North America’s and Europe’s […]

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STAYING WARM BUT NOT WITHOUT A STORM

Written by on September 24, 2016 in Autumn 2016, Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
STAYING WARM BUT NOT WITHOUT A STORM

It may be a thoroughly miserable start to the weekend over Western Scotland but we remain on the warm side of an increasingly active autumn jet stream. The slow moving cold front attached to the latest Atlantic low has brought a soggy night and start to the weekend across western Scotland, especially the West Highlands and that continues through the […]

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FREE: United States October 2016 Outlook (Includes Video)

Written by on September 23, 2016 in Autumn 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments
FREE: United States October 2016 Outlook (Includes Video)

Summer is well in our rear view mirror with Meteorological Autumn beginning at the start of September and Astronomical Autumn occurring yesterday. Day and night will be exactly equal as of Sunday the 25th (equilux) meaning equal and from there on, night is longer than day. Wish to know more about our seasons? VIDEO: Mechanism […]

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FREE: European October 2016 Outlook (Includes Video)

FREE: European October 2016 Outlook (Includes Video)

Summer is well in our rear view mirror with Meteorological Autumn beginning at the start of September and Astronomical Autumn occurring yesterday. Day and night will be exactly equal as of Sunday the 25th (equilux) meaning equal and from there on, night is longer than day. Wish to know more about our seasons? VIDEO: Mechanism […]

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WEEKEND: FINALLY A TASTE OF FALL FOR NORTHEAST, SNOW FOR ROCKIES

Written by on September 23, 2016 in Summer 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments
WEEKEND: FINALLY A TASTE OF FALL FOR NORTHEAST, SNOW FOR ROCKIES

A storm system centred over the Northern Plains will separate the West and East from winter and summer respectively. While snow and temps 10-15 below normal dominate the West, summer lives on from St Louis to Philly with storms and heavy rain in between. As for the Northeast, following some hot summery days, fall is […]

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WET & WINDY WEEKEND AHEAD, KARL ADDS COMPLEXITY TO NEXT WEEK

Written by on September 22, 2016 in Rest of Europe, Summer 2016, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
WET & WINDY WEEKEND AHEAD, KARL ADDS COMPLEXITY TO NEXT WEEK

Today marks the autumn equinox when day and night are the same length. Beyond today, night will be longer than day and this becomes noticeable as warm air masses retreat and cold gains ground to the north. With cold building and creeping southward, so the thermal gradient steps up, increasing the jet stream and therefore we […]

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UK: SEPT LIKELY TO END WITH FINAL TASTE OF SUMMER, FIRST TASTE OF AUTUMN

Written by on September 21, 2016 in Rest of Europe, Summer 2016, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
UK: SEPT LIKELY TO END WITH FINAL TASTE OF SUMMER, FIRST TASTE OF AUTUMN

As we approach the end of September you’d expect to experience cooler, windier days as the jet strengthens in response to the increased north-south temperature gradient. We are indeed seeing the jet strength increase, especially when tropical cyclones push heat northward while central Greenland gets ever closer to -40C. There’s no question that the pattern is becoming more energised as we […]

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CHORLEYWEATHER.COM: UK Winter Forecast 2016/17: La Nina Now Unlikely!!!!

Written by on September 21, 2016 in Rest of Europe, Summer 2016, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
CHORLEYWEATHER.COM: UK Winter Forecast 2016/17: La Nina Now Unlikely!!!!

Here’s some interesting thoughts on the 2016-17 winter from Stuart Markham of Chorley Weather. Always good to share and learn from others! Be sure to follow Stuart on twitter @_weatherstu Source http://www.chorleyweather.com/uk-winter-forecast-201617-la-nina-now-unlikely/ La Nina the sister of the perhaps more well known phenomenon El Nino, looked likely to develop this Autumn given all the model guidance […]

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EL NINO GONE BUT WARM POOL IN GULF OF ALASKA RETURNS, COLDER US WINTER?

Written by on September 20, 2016 in Summer 2016, United States of America with 0 Comments
EL NINO GONE BUT WARM POOL IN GULF OF ALASKA RETURNS, COLDER US WINTER?

[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] It should be of no surprise how warm last winter panned out not just for the United States or Europe but for much of the Northern Hemisphere given the strength of the El Nino. As is the case when you get a super El Nino, it takes over the global atmosphere with warmth circling the globe, breaking […]

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