Seasonal Forecasts
Arctic Oscillation and Polar Vortex Analysis and Forecasts October 13, 2016 Special blog on winter retrospective can be found here – http://www.aer.com/winter2016 Dr. Judah Cohen from Atmospheric and Environmental Research (AER) recently embarked on an experimental process of regular research, review, and analysis of the Arctic Oscillation (AO). This analysis is intended to provide researchers and practitioners real-time insights on one of […]
This morning 29 years ago, much of southern Britain woke to a scene of damage and destruction. This storm is particularly close to my heart as I lived through this once-in-a-lifetime event in central London aged 4 and believe this sparked today’s obsession with all things weather! The Great Storm of 1987 MET OFFICE A […]
By Linda Lam Published Oct 15 2016 07:58 AM EDT weather.com Story Highlights The coldest temperatures of the season have been felt by many in the Plains and Midwest this week. Record warmth will return early next week for parts of the central and eastern U.S. This is the time of year when large fluctuations […]
We know September was a warm month and in fact the UK’s second warmest on record but have you noticed how it’s felt chilly? Thank or blame that Scandinavia blocking high, the strongly negative Arctic Oscillation and in turn weak polar vortex. Just look at the incredible flip in where it was warmest during September, it so happens to […]
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] There’s plenty going on with the Pacific Northwest receiving a slamming this weekend. System 1 of 3 has already came ashore packing 103 mph gusts on the Oregon coast but the worst is likely to come tomorrow as the next storm comes ashore, it’s the remnant low of once Typhoon Songda. Plenty of rain […]
The easterlies continue but not for long as low pressure lifts north from Iberia introducing milder but more unsettled Atlantic weather. The continental influence will hang on today and confined to NE Scotland tomorrow with driving rain and a gale blowing off the North Sea. Intense shower pulses associated with the low lifting north will spread into southern/central Ireland and the UK. […]
Published Oct 13 2016 01:49 PM EDT weather.com Story Highlights Eye of Nicole is moving away from Bermuda. This is the strongest hurricane strike on Bermuda since Fabian in 2003. Destructive winds, heavy rainfall and damaging storm surge flooding will continue. Only 12 other Category 3 hurricanes have passed near Bermuda since 1899. Hurricane Nicole […]
Figures and text updated 4 October 2016 with provisional full month data. Despite a mixture of weather across the UK, two warm spells around the 9th and 13th of the month helped boost temperatures, with this September provisionally the equal-second warmest for the UK since records began in 1910. Provisional stats show the mean temperature […]
In yesterday’s post I touched on the stormy pattern setting up in the Pacific Northwest, in today’s post I want to show you the seesaw in temperatures this is creating further east. In the wake of the latest Pacific storm system which produced a major snowstorm over Montana, there’s a real taste of fall following on behind but AHEAD […]
Thanks to the powerful Scandinavian block, the Atlantic has been absent from the Northwest Europe pattern. Atlantic traffic has been following the diversion route into Iberia where it’s turning cooler and more unsettled. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] As we progress into late week, Hurricane Nicole will have crossed Bermuda and will be lifting northward into the western North […]

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