Seasonal Forecasts

UK Halloween Forecast 2017

Written by on October 28, 2017 in Autumn 2017, Summer 2017 with 0 Comments
UK Halloween Forecast 2017

Compared to the warmth of recent years, the run-up to Halloween ’17 will certainly feature a chill with a turn to slightly milder for Halloween itself. For those heading out Sat evening it will be cool, windy with a chance of showers, especially Northern Ireland, Scotland and northern England. During Sunday winds blow from the north bringing a distinctly colder feel. […]

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First snows hit Eastern Europe, first frost for central Scotland

First snows hit Eastern Europe, first frost for central Scotland

The first snows have arrived in eastern Europe thanks to Atlantic and Arctic air colliding while the first frosts arrived this morning to parts of central/southern Scotland. https://twitter.com/severeweatherEU/status/923185550848348160 https://twitter.com/severeweatherEU/status/923472752824209408 https://twitter.com/severeweatherEU/status/922178334452305921 https://twitter.com/LatviaRR/status/923625893666443264 First frost for central Scotland. https://twitter.com/MarkVogan/status/923849172360613888 By late weekend, it’ll feel like winter throughout the UK with the help of a brisk northerly wind, […]

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Santa Ana wind drives temp to 104F In Los Angeles, 108F San Luis Obispo

Written by on October 25, 2017 in Autumn 2017, Summer 2017, United States of America with 0 Comments
Santa Ana wind drives temp to 104F In Los Angeles, 108F San Luis Obispo

For the past two days, Southern California has baked in exceptional late October heat thanks to strong Santa Ana winds blowing off the desert. The sun is back up this morning with the potential for a 3rd straight 100-degree day for Downtown Los Angeles. One more day of record heat likely across #SoCal. #laheat #cawx […]

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Big Change On The Way!

Big Change On The Way!

Up until now it’s been largely mild with many including myself still yet to see the first frost. That will change through the weekend and on into next week as we get our first taste late autumn/early winter. I must state that the TWO shots of cold is not atypical, it’ll probably feel that way […]

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UK & Ireland’s Worst Windstorms 1987-2025

Written by on October 24, 2017 in Rest of Europe, Summer 2017, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
UK & Ireland’s Worst Windstorms 1987-2025

Located in the northeast Atlantic and often in the direct firing line of the jet stream and it’s storms, the UK and Ireland can be a very windy place. In particularly unsettled spells in the heart of winter, it can be the windiest place on earth. Storms can hit at any time of year with 100+ mph […]

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US November 2016 Outlook (includes video)

Written by on October 23, 2017 in Autumn 2017, Summer 2017, United States of America with 0 Comments
US November 2016 Outlook (includes video)

The final days of October will host gusty Santa Ana winds and record heat in Southern California and potentially record cold in the Midwest and interior East. Overall it’s been cold in the Northwest but very warm east of the Rockies. October 2m temperature anomaly so far for October. Late October Santa Ana/Heatwave Event Of […]

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Europe November 2017 Outlook (includes video)

Europe November 2017 Outlook (includes video)

As we close the door to autumn’s 2nd month there’s contradiction in the modelling around the end of Oct/beginning of November solution. GFS ensemble indicates a turn to much cooler around Halloween on into the opening days of November, a change from recent years while the CFSv2 weeklies hold on to the milder theme. GFS ensemble […]

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SUN 22 OCT: VOGAN’S EURO OUTLOOK

Written by on October 22, 2017 in Autumn 2017, Summer 2017, Videos with 0 Comments
SUN 22 OCT: VOGAN’S EURO OUTLOOK

Strong Phase 5 MJO Favours W Pac Typhoon Activity, Cool eastern US in 6-10

Written by on October 20, 2017 in Autumn 2017, Summer 2017, United States of America with 0 Comments
Strong Phase 5 MJO Favours W Pac Typhoon Activity, Cool eastern US in 6-10

The West Pacific has finally woken up with the support of a strong phase 5 MJO. 1 system has already driven west into China (brought eastern US ridge/warmth), now we’ve Lan which is projected to become a super typhoon. https://twitter.com/RobElvington/status/919013629214597121 Rather than heading west, Lan is projected to take the northward ‘recurve’ track towards Japan. The […]

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It’s Back! Atmospheric River Spans Entire Pacific From China To Washington

Written by on October 19, 2017 in Autumn 2017, Summer 2017, United States of America with 0 Comments
It’s Back! Atmospheric River Spans Entire Pacific From China To Washington

It’s back, the ‘atmospheric river’ season opens in style this year with copious amounts of liquid driving into the Pacific Northwest. Thank the ‘river in the sky’ spanning the entire 5,000 miles of Pacific Ocean from China to British Columbia. As well as powerful winds, record rainfall has affected several places throughout the Pacific Northwest. […]

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