Seasonal Forecasts

Spring Storm To Trigger 1st Noteworthy ‘Severe Outbreak’ Along With Record Heat, Snow, Floods

Written by on April 8, 2015 in Spring 2015, United States of America with 0 Comments
Spring Storm To Trigger 1st Noteworthy ‘Severe Outbreak’ Along With Record Heat, Snow, Floods

The first significant severe weather outbreak kicks off today and will last through Friday. The main target area for severe potential including damaging wind, large hail and of course tornadoes… TOP IMAGE CREDIT: WeatherBug.com [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Heavy pulses of rain with potential for ‘training thunderstorms’ through the MS/TN/OH valleys will likely lead to flash flooding […]

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Pattern Change This Weekend For UK/West Europe As Icelandic Trough Re-Strengthens

Pattern Change This Weekend For UK/West Europe As Icelandic Trough Re-Strengthens

As stated in yesterday morning’s video, we end this holiday week on a warm note with potential for low 20s as the ridge core drifts into the Low Countries and turns our flow SSE. That’s already drawing in drier, continental air which heats and cools faster. Did you have a frost this morning? We could see […]

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Cooler & Wetter Eastern US Pattern April 15-30? Could Be By-product Of Strat Warming, Warm GOA

Written by on April 7, 2015 in Spring 2015, United States of America with 0 Comments
Cooler & Wetter Eastern US Pattern April 15-30? Could Be By-product Of Strat Warming, Warm GOA

While a system pushes cooler, wetter weather into California and Southwest which sets up a significant severe weather threat Thursday, some longer range models try to bring back western warmth, eastern cool. Here’s the latest CFSv2 weeklies which quickly brings the return of the western ridge extending up into Alaska again while more cooler air […]

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Sunspot Cycle 24 Is Weakest Since 1798, Impacts On European Climate

Sunspot Cycle 24 Is Weakest Since 1798, Impacts On European Climate

It’s a well known fact that the sun is the primary driver of earth’s climate, oceans are second. Back at the last solar minimum, we experienced the great winter of 2009-10 and 2010-11. Then came the maximum of solar cycle 24 which peaked back in Feb-Mar last year. This resulted in a prolonged period of warmer […]

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Following Saturday Snowstorm, Maine ‘Unofficially’ Breaks April Record For Cold With -20F

Written by on April 7, 2015 in Spring 2015, United States of America with 0 Comments
Following Saturday Snowstorm, Maine ‘Unofficially’ Breaks April Record For Cold With -20F

Following a fresh 5 to nearly 10 inches of snow Saturday on top of a still deep snow cover, arctic high pressure slide down from Quebec producing all-time record cold for April. Unofficial lows of -20 were recorded this morning at Big Black River. If verified, this would be a new state record for Maine, surpassing the […]

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UK’s First Warm Spell With 1st 20s Arrive Bang On Schedule As Per MVW Forecast In Late March!

UK’s First Warm Spell With 1st 20s Arrive Bang On Schedule As Per MVW Forecast In Late March!

Yesterday Aboyne, Aberdeenshire took the prize as the UK’s first spot to reach the 21C benchmark. Back in late March, I had pegged the ‘end of April’s first week’ as the period to watch for the year’s first warm spell. That appears to have been not a bad call albeit a few days early but this […]

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US Next 7-Days: Focus Of Rain & Snow Turns To California, Storminess, Flooding To South!

Written by on April 5, 2015 in Spring 2015, United States of America with 0 Comments
US Next 7-Days: Focus Of Rain & Snow Turns To California, Storminess, Flooding To South!

As shown in the previous US post, the Sierra Nevada started April just 6% of normal snow and the least snow pack in recorded history just when it should have been at it’s annual peak depth, the upcoming 10 days according the GFS, has focus of heaviest snowfall right where it’s been extremely sparse. TOP IMAGE CREDIT: WeatherBug [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] As […]

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Very Settled & Turning Warmer This Upcoming Easter Holiday Week, 1st 20s Possible!

Very Settled & Turning Warmer This Upcoming Easter Holiday Week, 1st 20s Possible!

If your off on holiday this week, your in luck! A very decent Easter Sunday for most today with exceptions of some North Sea coasts where low cloud and a cool onshore breeze may make it somewhat disappointing but for most, it’s a mix of sun and cloud. Where sunshine lingers through this afternoon, you […]

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Upcoming ‘Wetter Pattern’ Won’t Touch Epic California Drought!

Written by on April 3, 2015 in Spring 2015, United States of America with 0 Comments
Upcoming ‘Wetter Pattern’ Won’t Touch Epic California Drought!

While a ‘somewhat’ wetter pattern returns to California next week, the dry pattern of the past 4 YEARS is only worsening one of the worst droughts in a lifetime. The Sierra snow pack is sitting at a mere 6% of normal and never has there been so little snow as of April 1. This has forced the […]

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High Pressure To Become Dominant Force Next 10-Days For Western Europe, Winter Holds In SE For Now!

High Pressure To Become Dominant Force Next 10-Days For Western Europe, Winter Holds In SE For Now!

The last in a series of fronts will clear the UK through the next 24 hours, so after a dull and dreary Good Friday for many, we turn to drier and somewhat milder Saturday into Easter Sunday and it’s that theme that carries us through next week. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The one fly in the ointment […]

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