Seasonal Forecasts

EUROPE: Neutral AO/NAO Returns But Briefly As Pattern Reloads And Arctic Rewarms

EUROPE: Neutral AO/NAO Returns But Briefly As Pattern Reloads And Arctic Rewarms

It was another cold start to the day on both ends of the British Isles but Atlantic low pressure is closing in and will bring modifying southerly winds as we draw this week to a close. By Sunday, most of the UK should enjoy double digits and that’s above freezing of course! This pull back […]

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EASTERN US: Wild & Loaded Winter Pattern Appears To Be Shaping Up For February

Written by on January 19, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
EASTERN US: Wild & Loaded Winter Pattern Appears To Be Shaping Up For February

The major winter storm looks to be a precursor to what could be a wild and loaded winter pattern through February. No question, the system now spreading rain and snow across California, will push out into the Atlantic somewhere between Charleston, SC and NYC, most likely over the southern Delmarva. Once the system crosses the […]

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UK Cold At It’s Peak, Worst Still To Come For Alps, Warming Trend Starts In West By Thursday

UK Cold At It’s Peak, Worst Still To Come For Alps, Warming Trend Starts In West By Thursday

The cold Europe pattern with Arctic/Greenland/North Atlantic blocking is well into a weakening phase as heights lower to the west of the UK and low pressure gains ground pushing the cold surface high east into continental Europe. Despite the gradual breakdown in this pattern, last night marked the coldest of winter for both the southern and northern UK. For the north, surface […]

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Winter Ready To Waken From DC To Boston? Top 5 Snowstorm Coming Up?

Written by on January 18, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
Winter Ready To Waken From DC To Boston? Top 5 Snowstorm Coming Up?

In last night’s write up I briefly showed you the wild scenario the GFS had for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast late this week into the weekend and it’s pretty amazing at how both GFS and ECMWF are going to the extreme with a real blockbuster snowstorm, perhaps blizzard. Both models show much the same scenario […]

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EUROPE: About As Dramatic Of A Turnaround You’ll Ever See!

EUROPE: About As Dramatic Of A Turnaround You’ll Ever See!

Following the extreme mild of November/December, old man winter sure is catching up and gripping Europe in a big way. About as big of a turnaround as you’ll ever see! December anomaly January so far [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Cold and snow is the big talking point this month from the Black Sea to Highlands of Scotland. While the […]

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First Measurable Snow Arrives In Mid-Atlantic, Northeast, -36 In Minnesota

Written by on January 17, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
First Measurable Snow Arrives In Mid-Atlantic, Northeast, -36 In Minnesota

The storm which brought rough weather and destructive and even deadly tornadoes to Florida yesterday is bringing snow up the East Coast and for me anyway, a surprise patchy light covering for DC up into Philly. Both BWI and DCA airports in Washington recorded their first measurable snow of the season. Modelling picked up on these […]

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Large Parts Of UK Wake Up To Snow Including London (As Forecast A Week Ago), Paris Up Next!

Large Parts Of UK Wake Up To Snow Including London (As Forecast A Week Ago), Paris Up Next!

As forecasted back at the beginning of last week, snow has indeed reached Greater London with a large swathe of the UK, especially central and northern areas under snow cover now. With cloud cover, snow cover isn’t as affective at driving down the temperature by night and without snow on the ground arctic air is wasted. However it looks […]

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Pacific Parade Continues For California, Next Arctic Cold Wave Sweeps Over Midwest

Written by on January 16, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
Pacific Parade Continues For California, Next Arctic Cold Wave Sweeps Over Midwest

I must start today’s write-up with a glance at the formation of the very rare Hurricane Alex, the first January Atlantic Hurricane to form in 78 years. The system is now post tropical and heading towards Greenland so no impact to US but a meteorological rarity which needed to be shown. It had wind and rain […]

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1, 2, Possibly 3 Snow Opportunities Today Through Tuesday, Cold A Product Of Storm Not Stratosphere

1, 2, Possibly 3 Snow Opportunities Today Through Tuesday, Cold A Product Of Storm Not Stratosphere

As the title says, we have not one but potentially 2 or 3 snow opportunities today through Monday/Tuesday. While plenty have seen snow in the last few days, plenty haven’t but I think fronts running into this deep low level cold will see snowfall and lying snow starting off in western/central Scotland as well as down the […]

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PHOTO’S: Mark’s Climb Up 4,006ft Aonach Mor (UK’s 8th Highest Mountain)

PHOTO’S: Mark’s Climb Up 4,006ft Aonach Mor (UK’s 8th Highest Mountain)

My target for 2016 is to climb at least 3 munro’s (Scottish mountain above 3,000ft) and by that I mean entirely on foot and not using mechanical aid such as chair lifts etc. At 5am Wednesday (13th) morning, I scraped the frost off my car and set off for Aonach Mor, located roughly 7 miles N of Fort William. […]

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