Seasonal Forecasts
What do you prefer, cold and snowy for many of us enjoyed last weekend or warm and wet like this past weekend? We’re back to the more active Atlantic pattern again but before I get into the upcoming week, I want to glance back at yesterday. Temperatures last weekend failed to get above freezing in […]
Following the ridiculously warm but ‘forecasted’ December, January has seen winter return with an epic East Coast snowstorm which smashed records and brought DC and NYC’s 2nd biggest snowstorm in history. Let’s not forget December and how much of a blowtorch it was. The shift to colder came following Storm Frank’s northward injection of warmth into the arctic […]
Well the pattern thankfully took a turn in January following an unprecedented, highly El Nino induced warm and wet November-December. The large-scale flip came at the close of December as a storm injected warm air into the arctic which distorted the strong cold circulation and flipped both Arctic and North Atlantic Oscillations negative. In fact it’s said that we had the […]
Due to the major Northeast US snowstorm I have changed the posting schedule today as you’ll have noticed. Europe video and write-up is usually before the US. Our pattern has turned fairly monotonous once again. Back in that wet, windy and unsettled regime. The system causing all the havoc on the other side of the […]
UPDATED 40 inches now reported in West Virginia! Intense snow band that’s dumping an incredible 2-4, possibly 5 inches of snow per hour holds firm over DC-NY megalopolis. Cape Cod, MA now upgraded to a blizzard warning. Temps at or below freezing from northern North Carolina to Canada at noon today. Some dramatic snow images […]
Only once every so many years do you get a monster storm system like the one we’re seeing now that’s still in the developing stages but has dumped close to a foot of snow in parts of North Carolina already. A blizzard warning remains in effect from central Virginia up to southern New England including all big cities […]
We’re back in the wet, windy, warmer regime with high pressure dominating the mid-latitudes while heights have lowered across the Arctic though not to the same degree as before. The removal of the blocking high, the jet has flattened and strengthened and that means the westerlies are back with frequent spells of wind, rain throughout Western Europe along […]
A blizzard warning is now up for the DC area while watches are in place throughout the surrounding area including Baltimore and Philly. No real change in the forecast. I still believe the biggest snow totals (12-24″) out of the Major Cities is DC while 10-20″ focuses in Baltimore and Philadelphia and 6-12″ for New York City. The […]
As of 11.30am the rain has become steady here in Cumbernauld as the first of many fronts push west to east across the UK. It’s a cold rain today following a frosty start but it’s on the backside of the front where southerly winds increase and therefore warmer air takes over once again. We’re back in the […]
There is little change in overall thinking with regards to the late week/weekend snowstorm. This is a textbook case of all the ingredients coming together and southern and northern branch energy converging and intensification of an intense, closed upper low right over or just south of Washington DC. Just look at the latest GFS 500mb chart and see how this […]
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