Seasonal Forecasts
Within a 3-day stretch last weekend, over 18 inches of snow fell in the mountains of West Virginia and western Maryland. Cold, clear nights followed allowing the thermometer to dip to 1F within the Canaan Valley region, rare for April! Some local, non official thermometers reported temperatures as low as -8F. Article from Capital Weather […]
Following the previous mention of late season snow and cold Fri-Sat 2 days ago, we’re still on track. Watching a cold front sink south over Scotland this evening. This will have rain, sleet and snow on it and behind it, a distinctly icy feel with some brightness coupled with wintry showers across Scotland and N England […]
In the wake of another front, a cool, dry high is providing beautiful sunny skies from Chicago to Washington up to the Canadian Maritimes. View from above. from below (Central Park looking east) The next few mornings are sure to be chilly throughout the Northeast with a nice setup for late season frost with radiational cooling. Forecasted lows tonight […]
The El Nino continues to weaken and already this is strikingly evident against the shores of South America where waters are already turning cool-than-normal. Check out the warm water north of UK, very cold water over North Atlantic (known as cold blob) and this cooler than normal extends down along the Portugal, Morocco coasts. Current SSTA’s. Projected SSTA’s […]
We have a very different upper pattern setting up to end this week compared to the same time last week. There are several aspects to consider. 1) the system crossing the Southern Plains into the Southeast now that will keep showers and thunderstorms going from Dallas to Atlanta next several days but it’s 2) the bigger system approaching the […]
There’s potential and good model agreement on a late season arctic blast as we end the work week with a high just west and low just east squeezing a stiff, cold northerly air flow down over the British Isles. The models are suggesting a significant hill snow event over the Scottish mountains and possibly Southern Uplands and Pennines with supressed daytime highs for the […]
The end of this years lingering snow and cold pattern is in sight… April so far! A system pushing in off the Pacific during this week will re shape the US upper pattern bringing a trough back to the West while ridging builds into the Great Lakes. Just need to watch for undercutting lows crossing […]
Our stuck pattern will be very evident this week and likely through the rest of April with low pressure trapped to the SW of Ireland, surrounded by high pressure on all sides. This is a large low that is shedding fronts which are becoming trapped on the southern flank of the large, dominant blocking high draped across the northern […]
No doubt, it was a COLD morning by April 10 standards over the Eastern United States. However, with 18″ in just 2 days followed by an arctic high, the cold price appears to go to Canaan Valley within the Allegheney Mountains of West Virginia which dipped ‘unofficially’ -8F this morning. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Major Denver snowstorm next weekend? GFS surface/precip This […]
In just the past 24 hours, a major southward plunge in jet stream over eastern North America has created a ripple effect throughout the hemispheric atmosphere. The pattern has significantly amplified bringing winter back to North America and now Europe. Like flicking a skipping rope, the downstream reaction has forced the jet north way up into […]

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