Tropical
Press release from Colorado State University. FORT COLLINS – Colorado State University researchers are predicting a well below-average hurricane season for the Atlantic basin in 2015, citing the likely development of a moderate to strong El Niño event as well as anomalous cooling of the tropical and sub-tropical Atlantic. The CSU Tropical Meteorology Project team […]
On the road but here’s a few thoughts on the upcoming hurricane season. Straight up… the warm PDO with strengthening El Nino (becoming a basin-wide event), cold AMO signal DOES NOT favour a big 2015 season, however that’s when looking BASIN-WIDE. Total numbers are likely to be below normal but this doesn’t tell the whole […]
As of 6pm, Hurricane Gonzalo remains a dangerous and potentially destructive Category 3 storm with an eye a mere 40 miles off Bermuda. Sustained winds remain at 115 mph with higher gusts. Pressure is still 949mb. This storm is likely to produce damage rivalling that of Fabian back in 2003 which was the last major hit on the island. Winds have already […]
As posted yesterday, there’s a lot of tropical moisture streaming into the interior Southwest over the next 96 hours thanks to Odile. Firstly, here’s the latest track of now tropical depression Odile. No change in projected rain amounts. Still scary for SSE Arizona, WSW New Mexico. If the system makes it over the AZ border as a […]
Part’s of Arizona including Phoenix are sitting at an astonishing 600% normal rainfall for the summer as seen by this NASA graphic. Just at the beginning of last week, the remnants of (weaker) Norbert came up and brought the below scenes to Phoenix Metro and ALL-TIME record rainfall. This was the track and QPF rainfall projections with Norbert. A seemingly worse […]
90 mph Hurricane Norbert spins just off the Baja of California generating. Here’s the current infrared rainbow imagery of the hurricane this morning. Sun is now up. Here’s the visible view. Yesterday’s view from Cabo San Lucas on the southern tip of the peninsula. Live view of a wet and windy Loreto, located also on the west coast of […]
Finally it would appear the African wave train is becoming more pronounced as the Azores high (eastern part of the mid-Atlantic) is weakening and easterly trades are weaken, thus more upward motion! Notice the plume of Saharan dust is further north and west where ridging and large-scale sinking is more prevalent. There’s a lot more […]
The system which NHC had a 10% chance of development off the SE coast has all but fell apart. Here was this morning. Now. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] NHC this morning. TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT MON JUL 7 2014 For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: […]
Hurricane Arthur continues to batter North Carolina’s Outer banks after making landfall between Cape Lookout and Beaufort around 11.15pm ET with winds of 100 mph. The current infrared imagery below shows the eye of Category 2 Arthur over the Pamlico Sound which separates the mainland from the Outer Banks. Wind Gusts so far: 101 mph Cape Lookout, […]

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