US Outlook: Hurricane Norbert Grazes Baja Calif /East Coast Mischief & Major Cold Shot Next Week?

90 mph Hurricane Norbert spins just off the Baja of California generating.

Here’s the current infrared rainbow imagery of the hurricane this morning.

rb0-lalo

Sun is now up. Here’s the visible view.

vis0-lalo

Yesterday’s view from Cabo San Lucas on the southern tip of the peninsula.

Courtesy/Credit: webcamsdemexico.com

Courtesy/Credit: webcamsdemexico.com

Live view of a wet and windy Loreto, located also on the west coast of the Baja.

Courtesy/Credit: webcamsdemexico.com

Courtesy/Credit: webcamsdemexico.com

Why Is Norbert Both Strong (For Region) And Pose A Flood Threat To The Desert Southwest?

Here’s the latest model spread. Quite a few turn the system in towards Tijuana and even Southern California perhaps as a storm.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

NHC track now turning towards Baja/SoCal now too.

114156W5_NL_sm

Water temperatures directly beneath Norbert are well above normal. There will be gradual weakening as he encounters cooler water off the northern Baja in a few days.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

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GFS has Norbert strengthening as it parallels the Baja before turning NW and weakens over the cooler water.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

ECMWF has Norbert stronger and closer to the coast if not on it within 24-36 hrs.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

East Coast mischief next week?

The QPF rain chart shows Norbert’s moisture streaming into the Southwest but also sees BIG rains up the EC, suggesting there’s some sort of system worth watching!

Next 72 hrs

d12_fill

Next 7 days

p168i

Source: AccuWeather

Source: AccuWeather

Source: AccuWeather

Source: AccuWeather

Source: AccuWeather

Source: AccuWeather

Major Trough And Chill Dives South Next Week

Temps run 3-6F below normal over the central plains day 0-7.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

5-10 below normal day with coverage expanding significantly day 7-14.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

ECMWF temps/anomalies next Friday morning.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

What about snow?

GFS total snow accumulation through 168 hrs

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

‘Snow on the ground’

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

ECMWF

Next 7 days

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

10 days

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

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