Rest of Europe
The past three Halloween’s have turned out very mild for the UK with 2016 seeing the warmest on record for Wales with a ridiculous high of 22C. As for Guy Fawkes night, last year was mild, wet and windy but this year shall be opposite and more typical of what you’d expect. Rather than the SW winds of […]
Snowfall has been relentlessly sweeping west from far eastern Asia to Northern Europe over the past 4 weeks and it’s knocking on the door of the UK as we head towards the weekend. We now have a hemispheric snow cover equivalent to early January rather than early November as you can see below. Snowfall is well […]
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Today’s winter forecast is based on all current global atmospheric/oceanic drivers in place, their current status and model projection. Following the record tying strongest El Nino in history last winter in which global temperature has been at record levels for some 16 months as a consequence, the ENSO is back NEUTRAL although record warmth is still be […]
At the beginning of October, 2016 I reattempted the climb of Aonach Mor in the Nevis Range following a failed summit attempt back in January 2016. Deep snow stopped me from reaching beyond the weather station but I was determined to make it this time around. Like back in January, I managed to get great views and great […]
Latest from Dr Judah Cohen (Follow on Twitter @judah47 ) Arctic Oscillation and Polar Vortex Analysis and Forecasts Source: http://www.aer.com/science-research/climate-weather/arctic-oscillation October 26, 2016 Special blog on winter retrospective can be found here – http://www.aer.com/winter2016 Dr. Judah Cohen from Atmospheric and Environmental Research (AER) recently embarked on an experimental process of regular research, review, and analysis of the Arctic Oscillation (AO). This […]
We’re reaching the end of October and that means Halloween of course. It’s interesting when looking back at just how up and down this period can be. Even in the typically mild Southeast of England, we’ve seen quite the variety of weather around Halloween. The recent trend has been mild, outstandingly mild at that with […]
Halloween in recent years have been anything but cold, in fact record warm and while there’s no records under threat this year, the mild theme continues thanks to high pressure with moist south/southwest winds which hold day and night temperatures above normal. This year is looking similar to last year with low pressure west and high pressure east which allowed winds […]
Unless something dramatically changes, the first taste of winter should reach UK shores early next week and the trend is for colder as the week progresses. In recent posts/videos I’ve broken down the details on the evolution to this early start to winter with weak polar vortex and -AO laying the ground work early over Siberia. […]
Snow cover continues to expand across Eurasia ahead of schedule thanks to a weak polar vortex and persistent -AO induced northern blocking. Moscow and Kiev both woke to their first snowfall this morning with 20cm locally. Kiev, Ukraine last night. Moscow before daybreak this morning. This cold trend doesn’t appear to wane but intensify as we head for […]
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