Rest of Europe

We gradually loose the heavy, frequent shower activity as high pressure settled in behind the pesky low which produced 50-60 mph winds through the weekend. That low is low over the Baltic Sea. The counter clockwise flow around that low is drawing cooler air south and with high pressure, that means sun and instability Monday-Tuesday over […]

Since we’ve looked at the upcoming 2 week pattern in recent days, I thought I would take another look at the longer range since it’s probably a day to be indoors. Is it pouring where you are this morning? [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Went into the CFSv2 monthlies and was surprised to an extent at what the model had […]

Hope you’ve had a chance to watch the video from this morning as it looks at the fickle back and forth in the models and their contradiction of each other. Low pressure rules the UK pattern this weekend and that of course means a wet, windy, cool Saturday with sunshine and showers returning by Sunday and […]

The latest GFS ensemble supports both a positive NAO along with building heights from the Azores up over the UK, Low Countries and even Scandinavia. The models will shift a little west and east as to exactly where the ridge core will be positioned next week. A lot will depend upon how strong and how far east any Atlantic trough […]

It’s very much a tail of two halves in the pattern between Northwest and Southwest Europe. The slightly negative but flat NAO supports a chilly, active, westerly air flow from Ireland to Scandinavia with frequent lows bringing spells of enhanced ‘unsettled’ weather. In stark contrast however, Spain, Portugal and most of the Mediterranean is enjoying the best […]

We have a rather unsettled week of weather with the Atlantic door wide open as the upper pattern flattens allowing the free flow of low pressure to sweep across the UK into mainland Europe. This pattern is quite different to the last 2 weeks as high pressure is strong further south and that means more […]

From the foggy morning and wet afternoon here in central Scotland and frost in parts of Spain to the deadly flash flooding that hit La Merche, central Italy in the last 36 hours. Our overall pattern looks more unsettled through the upcoming 7 days and rather unclear in the 7-14 day period. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] This was the scene here at my house this […]

Tomorrow morning’s unusually cold start will be followed by a pleasant and mild day as ridging builds into Ireland and the UK with chilly NNE shifting to a much warmer SW direction. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The cold trough currently overhead, supporting -5C 850mb temps will slide into central Europe while a cut off low continues to bring, wet, windy and unseasonably cool conditions […]

While cold air has begun it’s southward journey over the UK and Western Europe, warmer, brighter conditions are set to return immediately after. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The much anticipated chill is now pressing south along with a chilly high which will present a very cold start to the bank holiday weekend. In saying that, as the cold drives […]

Apologies for the very late post. My internet keeps going down but appears to be up at the moment. Will make this brief as I don’t know how long this will hold. As of this writing, we have plenty of wet, windy conditions affecting the UK with low pressure to our west drawing energy north. […]