Rest of Europe
Sadly the concerns I raised last weekend into early this week have been confirmed. Serbia and Bosnia have experienced their worst flooding in 120 years with a women and firefighter drowning. Here was the scene in the devastated village of Topcic Polje near Zenica, 120 kms north of Sarajevo, following a major landslide following the heavy rainfall. Here’s a […]
As shown in today’s video. The ridge is establishing itself over the UK (initially), promoting temperatures into the low and mid 20s for SE England and the mainland coastal plain tomorrow and Saturday but in stark contrast and as pointed out here with a good 5 days now, flooding is grabbing the headlines over the Balkans. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Through […]
The much advertised warmth is now pushing northward up the western flank of Europe and is sure to present most from Iberia to northern Scandinavia with the warmest temps of 2014 so far. In contrast to the warmth and sunshine Thursday through Saturday, a deepening cut off low diving towards the Balkans will bring a […]
As we head towards mid week we build heights throughout Western Europe and while we’re warming the mid levels, we shut down the shower and t-storm activity also. More sun, warmer 850mb temps means a widespread 20-25C from France to southern Sweden including the South and East UK. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The cooler air remains into Wednesday as pressure […]
The widespread early week shower and thunderstorm threat should give way to drier, sunnier and warmer conditions late this week over Western Europe as an Azores high pressure builds north. While the west heats up with ‘capping’, relaxing the atmosphere, low pressure will develop and push southeast over the continent bringing a potential flood threat to central and […]
We gradually loose the heavy, frequent shower activity as high pressure settled in behind the pesky low which produced 50-60 mph winds through the weekend. That low is low over the Baltic Sea. The counter clockwise flow around that low is drawing cooler air south and with high pressure, that means sun and instability Monday-Tuesday over […]
Since we’ve looked at the upcoming 2 week pattern in recent days, I thought I would take another look at the longer range since it’s probably a day to be indoors. Is it pouring where you are this morning? [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Went into the CFSv2 monthlies and was surprised to an extent at what the model had […]
Hope you’ve had a chance to watch the video from this morning as it looks at the fickle back and forth in the models and their contradiction of each other. Low pressure rules the UK pattern this weekend and that of course means a wet, windy, cool Saturday with sunshine and showers returning by Sunday and […]
The latest GFS ensemble supports both a positive NAO along with building heights from the Azores up over the UK, Low Countries and even Scandinavia. The models will shift a little west and east as to exactly where the ridge core will be positioned next week. A lot will depend upon how strong and how far east any Atlantic trough […]
It’s very much a tail of two halves in the pattern between Northwest and Southwest Europe. The slightly negative but flat NAO supports a chilly, active, westerly air flow from Ireland to Scandinavia with frequent lows bringing spells of enhanced ‘unsettled’ weather. In stark contrast however, Spain, Portugal and most of the Mediterranean is enjoying the best […]
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