Rest of Europe
The UK, Ireland and indeed much of Europe is currently enjoying a mild air mass with highs well into the 15-20C range widely. Temps have climbed to 22C this afternoon in the Scottish Highlands, making for the warmest day of 2014 UK-wide. However, significant change looms for the second half of this week. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Here’s a glance […]
There’s lot’s of hype about a super El Nino coming on. We saw a strong westerly burst in recent weeks but there is reason to believe that the hype is unjustified. Since the super nino of 1997, every nino that’s came on ever since, has been weak and short lived, largely down to the cold PDO. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] […]
It was a rather unsettled weekend across a large swath of Europe thanks largely to the sub-980mb low skirting southern Ireland and Britain. This low eventually fades as it slowly drifts south and east into the mainland continent. Cold, arctic origin air will slowly filter southward late this upcoming week, potentially bringing high elevation snow and […]
Low pressure dominates the UK pattern tonight through Sunday with a weakening phase through the second half. This low will bring not only the first gales in weeks to southern Ireland and the UK but since we’re now into late April, warm air pushing north with pulses of precipitation will trigger embedded thunderstorms. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] […]
We have a spell of more unsettled weather advancing from the southwest late week into the weekend. A fairly deep low will present rather wet and windy conditions to particularly southwestern parts of the UK and Ireland. Gales or even severe gales are expected to affect coastal areas while it will be windy widely. [s2If […]
Models remain consistent is driving very late season cold south over Western Europe and here’s a large part of the reason why! Both NAO and AO are going firmly negative, for the first time since before the winter. SEE TODAY’S VIDEO! [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Notice the reverse of the height field from positive to negative over the UK and negative […]
I posted briefly posted first thing this morning about the prospects of an end of April/last gasp cold snap for Western Europe. Models still show this and here’s a look at the surface charts which show low pressure exiting SSE from the UK this weekend, opening the door to some pretty cold air. It turns much more […]
In recent days I have been focusing on the longer term but have you been looking at the models? The NAO is poised to tank negative. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Looks like a pretty decent little low bring some wet and windy conditions to the southern, possibly northern UK this weekend but it’s once this departs SOUTH that a […]
After a warm and record wet winter, the spring pattern has turned around with warmer and drier than normal conditions which could have significant implications for later down the road. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] This drier but not completely dry pattern has helped drain some of the saturated soil covering much of the UK and Ireland. This is important when […]
The northward migration of the sub-tropical high is well underway. The first of two hot zones is already scorching. Ahead of the rainy/monsoon season, sub-Saharan Africa, parts of the Arabian Peninsula and sub-continental Asia is now in the 104-110F range widely across Sub-Saharan Africa and parts of Arabia. It’s yet to get to the unbearable stage over Northwest India and Pakistan but once […]
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