Rest of Europe
Models remain consistent is driving very late season cold south over Western Europe and here’s a large part of the reason why! Both NAO and AO are going firmly negative, for the first time since before the winter. SEE TODAY’S VIDEO! [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Notice the reverse of the height field from positive to negative over the UK and negative […]
I posted briefly posted first thing this morning about the prospects of an end of April/last gasp cold snap for Western Europe. Models still show this and here’s a look at the surface charts which show low pressure exiting SSE from the UK this weekend, opening the door to some pretty cold air. It turns much more […]
In recent days I have been focusing on the longer term but have you been looking at the models? The NAO is poised to tank negative. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Looks like a pretty decent little low bring some wet and windy conditions to the southern, possibly northern UK this weekend but it’s once this departs SOUTH that a […]
After a warm and record wet winter, the spring pattern has turned around with warmer and drier than normal conditions which could have significant implications for later down the road. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] This drier but not completely dry pattern has helped drain some of the saturated soil covering much of the UK and Ireland. This is important when […]
The northward migration of the sub-tropical high is well underway. The first of two hot zones is already scorching. Ahead of the rainy/monsoon season, sub-Saharan Africa, parts of the Arabian Peninsula and sub-continental Asia is now in the 104-110F range widely across Sub-Saharan Africa and parts of Arabia. It’s yet to get to the unbearable stage over Northwest India and Pakistan but once […]
My garden is in need of some attention and I’ve no excuse today given this…. I’m home all day too. What a spectacular start to Easter weekend. Hope your all having a good one so far whatever your doing. As I mentioned on today’s video. The biggest threat on Britain and much of Europe’s roads today, […]
There appears to be an interesting trend going on between March, April so far and as we go forward. Here’s the charts shown in today’s video. Be sure to watch the video for analysis. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] GFS ensemble 500mb 7-day mean 500mb height anomalies. 0-7 day 7-14 9-16 ECMWF 500mb 7-day mean height anomalies 0-7 day 3-10 […]
As a fairly strong upper level ridge of high pressure pushes mild to warm sunshine from Spain to Northern Britain today, we’re seeing cold air decent south over eastern Europe in response. Check out the snow projections off the ECMWF and GFS through the next 72 hours over south-central Europe. ECMWF [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] GFS You can see very distinctly in […]
For those taking this week off to spend with friends and family, well you may not want to rush off to sunnier, warmer climbs as the weather right here at home isn’t looking too bad. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] High pressure has been largely dominated across the bulk of the UK into the near continent throughout the […]
GFS ensemble 7-mean 500mb height anomaly shows ridge week one and then the shift east allowing a trough and cooler conditions into the UK and Western Europe week 2. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] 0-7 days 7-14 9-16 ECMWF Control shows trough dropping into the UK but it, unlike the GFS ensemble has a block developing over Scandinavia which suggests […]
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