Rest of Europe
It is well known that the sun is the greatest driver of earth’s temperature and in recent years, the sun has become weaker and weaker. As a result, earth’s temperature has been, on the grand scale of things, trending cooler. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] It’s said that we have not seen global warming in 20 years, probably as […]
Quick glance at the very latest Jamstec on Europe precipitation and temperature through the spring, summer and fall of 2014. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Mar-May Precip Mar-May Temp Jun-Aug Precip Jun-Aug Temp Sep-Nov Precip Sep-Nov Temp These charts have been touched on (last evening’s Europe video) but will have another video discussing this further… [/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]
This pattern may appear boring or monotonous these days but as an actual fact it’s rather typical of this time of year. Remember how abnormally cold it was this time last year and the year before, the flood gates had now opened following a record warm, dry March. Through the course of this weekend, Europe’s […]
In the last 5 days, we’ve had a rather weird upper pattern which has brought wind, rain and cold to Spain and Portugal while Saharan dust and high levels of air pollution impact the UK. As for Scandinavia, winter has returned to Sweden, Finland and Russia. This has been our 500mb height field setup in the […]
In the last few days, SSE winds triggered by unusually strong low pressure west of Iberia and high pressure over Italy as picked up and forced a cloud of Saharan dust to travel over 2,000 miles within the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere, bringing a surprise but not particularly unusual fine layer of […]
Over the course of the weekend, we had the perfect atmospheric setup both near the surface and in the upper levels for Saharan dust to get picked up, transported north and dropped over southern England yesterday. Many folks who headed out door this morning only to discover a strange dusty film on their car. Probably frustrating […]
We have a fairly tricky forecast this upcoming week in terms of pinning down the details in terms of sun, cloud and rain. The strongest positive this week will be focused over Iceland and that ridge runs SSE to Italy and the central Med. Cold, even arctic air will push south on the eastern side of […]
Models are in good agreement about the upcoming 10 days with it’s 500mb height anomalies. Front running 7 days shows both models with the Iceland to Italy ridge and deep troughs either side. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The trough-ridge-trough orientation has the UK and west, central continent mild and settled while cold air strives to drop out of Scandinavia towards Ukraine and SE. […]
If you read and watched last Sunday’s Mother’s Day outlook for the UK, you’ll remember the uncertainty and conflicting solutions between ECMWF and GFS. Both models are now in the same camp and it’s looking good for the majority of both the UK and Ireland as well as much of central and western Europe. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] It’s looking rather mild […]
In a follow up to last night’s post regarding the cooler, drier outlook, I want to look a little more closely at soil moisture content and it’s importance in atmospheric feedback as we toward warmer times. Here’s the ECMWF’s interpretation of Europe’s soil moisture content. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The focus of wettest ground extends from the UK to Italy. This is where […]
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