Rest of Europe
In yesterday’s post I looked at the fairly dry outlook in the next 10 days across the West of Europe. Today I want to look at the differing solution between ECMWF and GFS for the upcoming 7-10 days. The overall idea with both models are alike but as usual, there are some differences. The main difference I’m seeing is the GFS […]
With the NAO supporting the Atlantic trough/Europe ridge scenario over the next 1-3 weeks, rainfall looks below to well below normal really from Iberia upward. The CFSv2 500mb height anomalies have a strong positive pretty much directly over the UK over the next 2 weeks and even in week 3-4, it still has positive heights. SEE TODAY’S […]
You probably don’t need to see the below map for confirmation that March across Europe was milder than normal. However, this says it all. In fact, Ireland was near normal, UK slightly above but the real blowtorch was centred over eastern Europe. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] This is just another month which can be added to the […]
March was warmer and slightly drier than normal for the UK and this trend continues as we enter April’s second week. Here’s the temperature chart for the month of March from the Met Office. Note that East Anglia saw it’s warmest March since 1997. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] As stated in recent days and in today’s video. […]
The NAO is currently negative but is poised to go back positive by the weekend. As a result our trough that will keep the April showers and more organised rain going across Ireland, the UK and western mainland this week, should back west out over the Atlantic by the weekend. As this happens, ridging and warmth now dominating […]
It is well known that the sun is the greatest driver of earth’s temperature and in recent years, the sun has become weaker and weaker. As a result, earth’s temperature has been, on the grand scale of things, trending cooler. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] It’s said that we have not seen global warming in 20 years, probably as […]
Quick glance at the very latest Jamstec on Europe precipitation and temperature through the spring, summer and fall of 2014. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Mar-May Precip Mar-May Temp Jun-Aug Precip Jun-Aug Temp Sep-Nov Precip Sep-Nov Temp These charts have been touched on (last evening’s Europe video) but will have another video discussing this further… [/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]
This pattern may appear boring or monotonous these days but as an actual fact it’s rather typical of this time of year. Remember how abnormally cold it was this time last year and the year before, the flood gates had now opened following a record warm, dry March. Through the course of this weekend, Europe’s […]
In the last 5 days, we’ve had a rather weird upper pattern which has brought wind, rain and cold to Spain and Portugal while Saharan dust and high levels of air pollution impact the UK. As for Scandinavia, winter has returned to Sweden, Finland and Russia. This has been our 500mb height field setup in the […]
In the last few days, SSE winds triggered by unusually strong low pressure west of Iberia and high pressure over Italy as picked up and forced a cloud of Saharan dust to travel over 2,000 miles within the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere, bringing a surprise but not particularly unusual fine layer of […]

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