Rest of Europe
We’ve entered a very different weather pattern across Western Europe in the past week with the complete breakdown of the ridge and return of a more typical Atlantic driven pattern. The pattern turns increasingly unsettled this weekend as we’ve got a soaking low swinging into southern Britain from the SW, well ahead of former hurricane […]
It’s always amazing to see the hype and misleading information spouted by the tabloids at this time of year when there’s mention of a former tropical cyclone coming our way. This is classic of the Daily Express. To support a hurricane, you MUST have water temperatures of 26C or greater with little to no mid and upper […]
Well it’s back to Bertha this morning and the potential for a major impact on Ireland and the UK this weekend. IT’S WAY TOO FAR OUT TO MAKE A DEFINNATIVE FORECAST AND WEAKENING FROM MODELS IS HIGHLY POSSIBLE, BUT, the latest GFS is printing out some interesting and potentially problematic impacts if true. In her current […]
Has the summer pattern snap occurred earlier than first thought? That’s the big question I’m asking myself this morning given the general consensus of model output. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] It’s certainly looking more unsettled and for longer than first thought and as the atmosphere begins cooling and the jet strengthens, that very warm water surrounding us, […]
While one low lifts north, another up near Iceland will send a front towards the UK Tuesday-Wednesday bringing more wet, breezy weather to particularly the western UK and much of Ireland. Till then, a weak, skinny ridge builds in bringing back warm sunshine. It’s that time of year when the tropics begin to heat up (disturbance-wise) […]
LOW PRESSURE is dominating the UK and West of Europe pattern at the moment and it certainly looks to be a wet weekend in store starting with England and Wales Saturday and Scotland, Northern Ireland Sunday. The ECMWF has a real soaker for Scotland Sunday where 1-2, locally 3 inches may fall directly beneath the core of the […]
A few individuals lately have reappeared on social media asking me why I’m calling for a warmer, drier than normal August when operational models show a trough (they only seen to appear when they think I’m going to get a forecast wrong, haha). Regarding the summer overall, had I went by the same models at the beginning, well boy would […]
Well it would appear the pattern shall be quite different by the end of this workweek compared to the last as high pressure collapses and a firm trough comes in. Operational models are in good agreement of the mean trough sitting just off Ireland while 2 to 4 separate low pressure systems swing straight across Ireland and […]
After a storm past 12-24 hours, the medium term upper pattern is shifting with heights lowering in the west and rising in the east. If you live here in Scotland, enjoy today’s warm sunshine as rain spreads in from the Atlantic tonight into tomorrow. We’ll see frequent spells of rain/showers through the rest of this […]
As we head towards the end of what has been a warmer and drier than normal month, as expected, we see some changes with heights lowering over the UK and Ireland. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The next 7 days will see more northwest to south split with the warmest, driest conditions over England and Wales while energy […]
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