Rest of Europe
LOW PRESSURE is dominating the UK and West of Europe pattern at the moment and it certainly looks to be a wet weekend in store starting with England and Wales Saturday and Scotland, Northern Ireland Sunday. The ECMWF has a real soaker for Scotland Sunday where 1-2, locally 3 inches may fall directly beneath the core of the […]
A few individuals lately have reappeared on social media asking me why I’m calling for a warmer, drier than normal August when operational models show a trough (they only seen to appear when they think I’m going to get a forecast wrong, haha). Regarding the summer overall, had I went by the same models at the beginning, well boy would […]
Well it would appear the pattern shall be quite different by the end of this workweek compared to the last as high pressure collapses and a firm trough comes in. Operational models are in good agreement of the mean trough sitting just off Ireland while 2 to 4 separate low pressure systems swing straight across Ireland and […]
After a storm past 12-24 hours, the medium term upper pattern is shifting with heights lowering in the west and rising in the east. If you live here in Scotland, enjoy today’s warm sunshine as rain spreads in from the Atlantic tonight into tomorrow. We’ll see frequent spells of rain/showers through the rest of this […]
As we head towards the end of what has been a warmer and drier than normal month, as expected, we see some changes with heights lowering over the UK and Ireland. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The next 7 days will see more northwest to south split with the warmest, driest conditions over England and Wales while energy […]
What are the chances… Glasgow enjoys or endures whatever way you want to look at it, the warmest day since 2005 yesterday. Just as thousands are here for the Commonwealth Games. According to the Met Office, Friday saw the high at Glasgow’s official recording station at Bishopton, near the Airport top 28.6C (83F). That’s in fact […]
In today’s post I want to take a quick look at the final month of summer as well as the upcoming autumn period based on current pattern, global sst’s and the oncoming El Nino, what we can expect as the warm season ends? I stand by my long term ideas for August which is backed up nicely with the CFSv2 which […]
The atmosphere is primed for maximum heating today and or tomorrow over Scotland, England and Wales. The 30C mark will be pushed in 3 out of the 4 countries while Belgium, Netherlands, Denmark and particularly southern Norway and Sweden should push the 30-33C range. Only a 582dm upper, 1024 surface ridge produces little or no cloud due to the solid cap (warm layer) in the […]
After a warm and record wet winter, the spring pattern has turned around with warmer and drier than normal conditions which could have significant implications for later down the road. This drier but not completely dry pattern has helped drain some of the saturated soil covering much of the UK and Ireland. This is important when it comes […]
The simply stunning weather we’re currently enjoying looks set to persist through the next 3 days at least with morning mist, low cloud and fog quickly burning back to the coast as the strong July sun heats the ground. Daytime temperatures will continue to sharply rise into the 22 to 27C range, locally 28-29C over Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland as […]
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