Rest of Europe
A front is currently progressing southeast over the UK, weakening as it does so but left in it’s wake will be a clear, calm and cold early October night. GFS shows sub-freezing temps tomorrow morning over far north England but I suspect rural parts of Scotland, Northern England will see patchy frost with favoured sheltered areas likely […]
It looks like September ends as driest on record or since 1911 for the UK. No real surprise given there was no recovery to wetter during the second half of the month. Well as the old saying goes, nothing last’s forever and in the world of weather and our atmosphere, a pattern will only last so long […]
Good morning! Changes are being seen by all models this upcoming 7-14 day period with the NAO dropping back towards neutral then negative. This to me suggests more wet than cold. Saying that the AO is going negative too say perhaps I should watch the potential air masses coming down closely. I’ve stated for some time now […]
It’s safe to say that I am hesitant at committing yet to the upcoming winter following the bust of last year. I feel much more confident about a cold winter ahead for the Central and Eastern United States but not so much for Western Europe. I know where I went wrong last year and also know why I should sway […]
Thanks to a steep pressure gradient between a 960 Norwegian Sea low and 1024 high over southern England, winds are blowing hard out of the west across the Northern UK, even stronger up over Orkney, Shetland and the Faroe Isles. It’s a classic autumnal feel, a good old leaf stripper while southern England and Wales […]
No change in overall autumn ideas. Warm October and November with turn to much wetter conditions into November. The new Jamstec is out and it interestingly expands cold again over Western Europe including all of the UK and Ireland. Old New [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The El Nino is slowly coming on and will be present come winter. For us […]
The latest CFSv2 weeklies are out and they want to hold the mean ridge over the UK and Ireland through most of October. CFSv2 for October [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] As you can see it shows wetter than normal! The Southern half of the UK down into the near continent should stay much drier than normal given […]
Winter may seem like a million miles away from the UK these days but it’s not for some. I showed you evidence just 2 days ago that snow was present in northern Sweden. Here’s what part’s of Finland are waking to this morning. Another spot dealing with winter these days is Summit Camp in the […]
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The AO and NAO are both going positive as we head for October. While some may worry. This is GOOD because we will see the arctic sea ice grow with cold focusing over the arctic ocean forcing ice to grow and expand. This will build the polar vortex. The building blocks to the winter ahead! Ultimately we don’t […]
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