Rest of Europe

The models had it coming! Snowy in northern Sweden this morning… Jukkasjärvi Kiruna Another view of Kiruna [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The ECMWF surface map at 24 hours shows high pressure bringing the chilly morning’s and pleasant, sunny days while low pressure and cold northerly winds on the backside bring snow to northern Sweden. It’s chilly here too […]

Simply by glancing at the recent NAO index you can see why we had the cool, wet August and warm, dry September and with the flat lining or neutral coming up, why we’ve a zonal pattern coming up. I got my first soaking rain or wet ground actually since August this morning! ECMWF surface charts […]

Last night I put up a post on the Antarctic sea ice record and 6th lowest for the arctic. What’s significant is that the arctic has lost far LESS ice this year compared to last and that may or may not be a big deal for the upcoming winter across not just Europe but the hemisphere. […]

We have plenty of warm, humid air around across particularly southern parts of the UK into the near continent but as energy lifts north from the Azores low, expect an increase in thunderstorm development later today into particularly tomorrow with off and on showers extending into the weekend. As for today, the big day for Scotland, it […]

I spoke yesterday about ‘summer heat’ returning to Western Europe including the UK but I want to touch on the thunderstorm risk today. While the Azores low helps draw Africa heat our way, it will also push energy our way too and that means increased instability and with heat and added humidity come an increased risk […]

When you look back at past UK and West Europe summer’s with a warmer, drier than normal June-July, you often get a break in August with turn to cooler and wetter but September’s tend to revert back to the pattern that was before. That’s the case this year, strikingly similar to last year with a […]

Bertha took summer away from us back at the end of July but another former hurricane, Christobal brought it back and ever since, well it’s been VERY dry and where sunny, warm but by no means unprecedented. According to a BBC tweet last evening, yesterday marked day 6 where nowhere in the UK recorded more […]

Back at the close of July into the start of August, Ex-Hurricane Bertha brought an end to summer over the UK following the largely warm, dry June-July pattern. Following Bertha’s strong wind and rain, a trough become dominant over the UK producing the coolest August since 1993. Then we saw the arrival of Ex Hurricane Christobal on […]

Jamstec has the warm/wet Sep-Nov period I’ve had since mid summer. Jamstec is going with warm/wet Europe but colder NW UK/Ireland winter (close call?) Note the very dry N Atlantic. Model seeing a Greenland block? [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The QBO was strong westerly back last winter and I’ve given my reasons why this was the case and brought our […]