Rest of Europe

The NAO becomes more significant as we head from summer into autumn and obviously winter. Over the past 12 months, the NAO has been predominantly positive and I believe this is strongly connected to the weak solar maximum of sunspot cycle 24. The positive NAO has laid to a warm Europe last summer, winter and even summer this […]

I just cut a video but it’s failed to upload unfortunately. Still in Northern Ireland spending some time with family but shall be home and back to normal posting tomorrow night/Friday. Here’s some pictures I took this morning from Black Gap Farm in Co Down. I’m really keen to get a post up regarding the NAO past/current […]

It’s been a splendid day here in Co Down, NI with lot’s of warm sunshine. Several folks I bumped into today spoke about the 10 days of sunshine we had ahead of us. High pressure perhaps and settled perhaps too but sunshine? I think it’ll come and go and a lot depends on where you […]

Since I’ve covered the short and medium range in recent days with high pressure ruling, I thought I would look at the longer term today and look at what the latest CFSv2 charts are showing with regard to autumn and winter. It’s showing some interesting things. Firstly the 200mb height anomaly chart which I don’t often […]

While I took at look at the ECMWF in the video, I want to show you the GFS here for comparison. Interestingly The GFS is now in line with the ECMWF with the lingering of the ridge and push back of any disturbed weather trying to come in. This pattern is back to where we […]

While by no means unheard of, the high in Scotland this afternoon (esp where sun shines), should surpass the average for July never mind September. As your well aware, we have a high pressure pattern currently in place and that primarily means settled and dry but as you can see, it doesn’t necessarily mean sunshine. […]

While it’s a fairly benign weather pattern across Western and Northern Europe, it’s been far from benign in south-central areas of the continent. In yesterday’s post I showed you the snow in Italy’s Alps and Apennines but major flooding has occurred in coastal southern Croatia from the very system that brought the early but not unprecedented snowfall. […]

While the UK and a swath from Ireland right up to NW Russia looks set to enjoy some warm, settled weather (particularly where the sun shines), parts of the Alps and Apennines of central Italy got their first snowfall. Check out these images I put up on my twitter page yesterday. Apennine Mountains of central Italy […]

Well that’s another summer over, meteorologically speaking! In today’s post I want to look at how it turned out. Forecast which was issued back in April, verses reality. Based on type of winter, drier spring, onset of El Nino, solar maximum and global water temperature profile, I called for a mixed summer but biased warmer and drier […]

Here’s the current view of our old friend Christobal spinning SW of Iceland this morning. Quite the wind machine over the N Atlantic for sure! Note much of the UK is clear and sunny with temps climbing to 21C as far north as Highland Scotland this afternoon. Christobal is impressive on the windstream! That system fades […]