Rest of Europe

There is strong indications that winter is beginning to show as mild, moist Atlantic air hits cold air that’s building over north, northeast Europe. GFS 7 day snow forecast ECMWF 7 day [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] 10 day Most of Siberia is already white and this will only expand in the coming weeks as cold expands and matures south. We […]

We have a fair amount of rain in this pattern but notice WHERE the heaviest precipitation is focusing on. The WEST, where it was driest back in September. This could be a significant indicator for later but we must see this pattern mature into late October and especially November. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] We’re certainly in a […]

A canopy of low pressure hanging overhead supplying our sunshine and shower regime will gradually clear into the Norwegian Sea later today into Sunday but look out Southern England, a low now gathering in the Bay of Biscay looks set to bring a soaking Sun evening. Winds too will be a feature. The good news is that […]

Not the best of pics but I captured this over the Cairngorms yesterday on my drive up to Invergordon (half hour north of Inverness). Nice to see the snow again! Arctic Oscillation At It’s Lowest October Value Since 2002 Interestingly the Arctic Oscillation is now down to -4, the lowest value for October since an all-time record (for […]

There is good agreement in the models that we have a more positive height field coming up in the next week over Western Europe and this should help TEMPORARILY shut down the Atlantic storm train. Even with these -NAO/AO autumn’s, there’s almost always a respite after we see the turn to wet off a warm, predominantly […]

The first big blow of the autumn was an impressive one with peak gusts topping 122 mph over Cairngorm while low level South Uist gusted to 84. This morning it’s not much better over the Northern Isles with Lerwick gusting to 69 mph while it was cold and clear over much of the mainland with dense fog for […]

Unsurprisingly, many across Ireland and the UK are waking up with the question, where’s summer gone? Unfortunately reality hits home hard following our first proper blow of the young autumn season. Let’s not forget that we’re now into our SECOND autumn month, even though our first looked and felt more like a continuation of summer. […]

As expected, colder air has arrived on the rear of yesterday’s strong cold front and has changed precipitation from liquid to frozen over some Scottish peaks. This is the current scene on Cairngorm Mountain which recorded gusts of 104 mph yesterday as the front pushed through. Expect more snow above 3,500ft in the coming days as plenty […]

While wet and windy conditions dive south over the UK, it’s snowing and blowing up in Iceland on the cold side of the same storm system. Check this web cam view from Iceland this morning. It’s snowing and sticking right down at the coast too. Here’s the visible satellite as of 8am this morning. Note […]

It’s interesting when looking back at the 500mb anomaly from the last 90 days and see a cold arctic, hence the ‘less melting’ of sea ice compared to 2012, 2013 but still see a predominantly -AO and -NAO. I’ve said for years now that we should watch carefully the ‘trends’ and this year is largely opposite of last […]