Rest of Europe
As shown in recent videos, the MJO is becoming more amplified once again and may provide more of a mid-latitude influence. As can be seen in the latest GFS ensemble model, the MJO wave is rotating back through the same cool phases which brought our cold April and May and as expected, the models show […]
Every day of meteorological summer has seen at least somewhere within the UK reach 30C, that’s except for 13th June, just a single day. As a lobe of very warm air lift north aboard a building ridge, this afternoon provides an opportunity for UK weather history to be made if we see somewhere crack 30C. […]
Welcome to my 11th annual UK, Europe summer forecast. As always, when compiling this forecast for the upcoming June-August period there are multiple factors which I have taken into consideration. They include the past winter pattern, type of spring just observed as well as other factors including current ENSO state, global and regional sea surface temperature […]
The all-time record heat that’s been achieved across the Russian Arctic this month has been very impressive. Overall we’ve seen the earliest 32C above the Arctic Circle and countless May all-time records set along with an ALL-TIME MAY RECORD FOR RUSSIA. Here are some of these impressive records. https://twitter.com/ScottDuncanWX/status/1396531742094368772 https://twitter.com/WeatherSarov1/status/1396094111661367302 https://twitter.com/therockyfiles/status/1395475183868203013 And Middle East https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1396068197829337088 […]
We all know it’s been a cold spring with extremes of dry and wet and today breaks yet another impressive cold record. This time, a national record. So far this year, Scotland’s warmest temperature stands at a measly 19.5C recorded at Achnagart, Highland. As of May 21st, Scotland has surpassed the barrier for latest date […]
As is often the case with prolonged ‘stuck patterns’ featuring high latitude blocking, we can flip from one extreme to the other and that’s certainly been the case in terms of rainfall between April and May. As for temperature, well it’s been pretty much continuously below average since the end of March. Since the UK […]
We’re approaching May’s point in 5 days and we’re seeing mean average temperatures solidly 2-4C below normal. Europe 2m temperature anomaly for May 2021 through the first 9 days. Although we’ve seen a wave of (record) warmth spread north and east across Europe over recent days, this is a brief event as can be seen […]
You know it’s been cold when on May 9th your talking about Britain’s first 21C in 5 weeks. An unusually deep low held off SW Ireland thanks to strong ridging over Europe is acting as a bit of a heat pump, driving the warmest air since March, if not the year up through Spain, France, […]
On the heels of the UK’s frostiest April on record, lowest mean minimum temperature on record and after EVERY morning during April at or below 0C (somewhere in the UK), we have now set another 2 UK cold records! The UK maximum Monday, May 3rd was a mere 14.0C recorded in three locales (Southend-on-sea, Heathrow […]
Following a cold, dry April, the Great British weather is beginning to liven up. As we wave goodbye to April and step or perhaps limp into May, we have a sunshine and ‘April showers’ regime. Cool air mass aloft and strong incoming solar radiational means clear morning’s followed by bubbling clouds mid to late morning […]
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