Rest of Europe

Europe June 2021 Outlook (Spring 2021 Recap)

Written by on May 18, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe June 2021 Outlook (Spring 2021 Recap)

As is often the case with prolonged ‘stuck patterns’ featuring high latitude blocking, we can flip from one extreme to the other and that’s certainly been the case in terms of rainfall between April and May. As for temperature, well it’s been pretty much continuously below average since the end of March. Since the UK […]

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Europe Headed For Coldest April-May Period For Years!

Written by on May 11, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe Headed For Coldest April-May Period For Years!

We’re approaching May’s point in 5 days and we’re seeing mean average temperatures solidly 2-4C below normal. Europe 2m temperature anomaly for May 2021 through the first 9 days. Although we’ve seen a wave of (record) warmth spread north and east across Europe over recent days, this is a brief event as can be seen […]

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UK To Limp Beyond 20.7C For 1st Time in 5 WEEKS But Cool, Showery Theme Resumes TOMORROW!

Written by on May 9, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
UK To Limp Beyond 20.7C For 1st Time in 5 WEEKS But Cool, Showery Theme Resumes TOMORROW!

You know it’s been cold when on May 9th your talking about Britain’s first 21C in 5 weeks. An unusually deep low held off SW Ireland thanks to strong ridging over Europe is acting as a bit of a heat pump, driving the warmest air since March, if not the year up through Spain, France, […]

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Coldest Early May Bank Holiday On Record Follows 3rd Warmest Last Year!

Written by on May 5, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Coldest Early May Bank Holiday On Record Follows 3rd Warmest Last Year!

On the heels of the UK’s frostiest April on record, lowest mean minimum temperature on record and after EVERY morning during April at or below 0C (somewhere in the UK), we have now set another 2 UK cold records! The UK maximum Monday, May 3rd was a mere 14.0C recorded in three locales (Southend-on-sea, Heathrow […]

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From April Showers (How They Work) To A May Bank Holiday Rain, Snow & Gale Event

Written by on April 30, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
From April Showers (How They Work) To A May Bank Holiday Rain, Snow & Gale Event

Following a cold, dry April, the Great British weather is beginning to liven up. As we wave goodbye to April and step or perhaps limp into May, we have a sunshine and ‘April showers’ regime. Cool air mass aloft and strong incoming solar radiational means clear morning’s followed by bubbling clouds mid to late morning […]

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Europe May 2021 Outlook (Recap on Record Cold/Dry April)

Written by on April 26, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe May 2021 Outlook (Recap on Record Cold/Dry April)

April 2021 will go down as a notably cold and potentially record dry month, all thanks to a very stubborn, stuck blocked pattern. It’s the persistency in the chill and rain starved pattern that’s been very impressive. Dry April’s aren’t uncommon for the UK but a cold, dry April is. The chill came is two […]

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WITHIN 6 DAYS Parts of Europe Flip From ALL-TIME March Heat To ALL-TIME April Cold!

Written by on April 25, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
WITHIN 6 DAYS Parts of Europe Flip From ALL-TIME March Heat To ALL-TIME April Cold!

2021 has seen quite the weather seesaw so far with spells of significant cold as well as warm with swings from one extreme to the other. Take February in the UK alone, we had a minimum of -23C recorded at Braemar, Aberdeenshire, 2 weeks later, Santon Downham, Suffolk soared to 18.4C. That’s one of the […]

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CFSv2 ‘No Use’ As A Long Term Forecast Tool

Written by on April 20, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
CFSv2 ‘No Use’ As A Long Term Forecast Tool

Through March and indeed April I’ve harped on and on about the lack of cold seen by the long term modelling. This ‘issue’ continues with nothing but ‘hot high pressure’ for the upcoming May-June-July period. We all know that won’t be the case. CFSv2 500mb height anomaly for May-July 2021. Above normal heights equates to […]

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Headed For Record Dry April Following One of Coldest Opening 16 Days?

Written by on April 18, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Headed For Record Dry April Following One of Coldest Opening 16 Days?

Despite some movement back and forth, on the whole High pressure has been holding firm over the UK in recent weeks bringing not just drier but colder than normal conditions. This can likely be attributed to the La Nina and possibly other factors including MJO as well as solar state. The mean position of the […]

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Germany, Netherlands, Belgium, Luxembourg See Warmest March Day On Record, UK’s Warmest Since ’68

Written by on March 31, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Germany, Netherlands, Belgium, Luxembourg See Warmest March Day On Record, UK’s Warmest Since ’68

It was the perfect setup for an historic March day. An unusually strong anticyclone sandwiched between two cut off lows. The tight pressure gradient and orientation between the low off Morocco and high over the western Med drove a powerful southerly wind which transported hot west Saharan air north over Europe. 500mb height anomaly This […]

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