Rest of Europe
For Northwest Europe (Ireland, UK, France, Low Countries), it’s been a summer of mixed fortunes with spells of wet, dry, cool and warm with of course the relatively long lived warm to hot spell which during mid July. An unusual back to back flash flood event struck London ahead and after a pretty average 7-day […]
Located along the shores of Strangford Lough and near Newtonards, Co Down, Ballywatticock is a name few had ever heard of. Well up until Saturday when at approx 3.40pm became the most famous place in Northern Ireland when news broke that a met office site in the tiny township reported a (provisional) temperature of 31.2C. […]
June 2021 will go down as a warm month across Europe but not without it’s twists and turns. A pattern dominated largely by high pressure but with southerly positioned cut of lows which made for a very wet June over central and northern France and southern Britain. ‘Mirror image’ Omega blocking pattern creates extreme weather […]
Despite three failed attempts at 30C and a well above average month, it’s also been a rather disappointing June, particularly so for southern counties of England. Rainfall has been near double the June average across the south while Northern England, Scotland and Northern Ireland has been pretty dry and well below average. Monday was of […]
In my previous video I discussed the sharp drop in North Atlantic SSTA’s and many asked why this may be the case. In my opinion, there is no singular reason but a collection of several. Arctic sea ice melt (5th lowest for the time of year) Natural melt of ice/icebergs surrounding Greenland and Iceland Unusually […]
As shown in recent videos, the MJO is becoming more amplified once again and may provide more of a mid-latitude influence. As can be seen in the latest GFS ensemble model, the MJO wave is rotating back through the same cool phases which brought our cold April and May and as expected, the models show […]
Every day of meteorological summer has seen at least somewhere within the UK reach 30C, that’s except for 13th June, just a single day. As a lobe of very warm air lift north aboard a building ridge, this afternoon provides an opportunity for UK weather history to be made if we see somewhere crack 30C. […]
Welcome to my 11th annual UK, Europe summer forecast. As always, when compiling this forecast for the upcoming June-August period there are multiple factors which I have taken into consideration. They include the past winter pattern, type of spring just observed as well as other factors including current ENSO state, global and regional sea surface temperature […]
The all-time record heat that’s been achieved across the Russian Arctic this month has been very impressive. Overall we’ve seen the earliest 32C above the Arctic Circle and countless May all-time records set along with an ALL-TIME MAY RECORD FOR RUSSIA. Here are some of these impressive records. https://twitter.com/ScottDuncanWX/status/1396531742094368772 https://twitter.com/WeatherSarov1/status/1396094111661367302 https://twitter.com/therockyfiles/status/1395475183868203013 And Middle East https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1396068197829337088 […]
We all know it’s been a cold spring with extremes of dry and wet and today breaks yet another impressive cold record. This time, a national record. So far this year, Scotland’s warmest temperature stands at a measly 19.5C recorded at Achnagart, Highland. As of May 21st, Scotland has surpassed the barrier for latest date […]
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