Rest of Europe
It’s turned considerably more unsettled across the UK, Ireland and Northwest Europe this week thanks to a pretty significant shift in the upper pattern. This has brought an abrupt end to our sustained spell of dry, settled weather and in response, storm and flood weary southern Europe catches a proper break. The jet stream has lost it’s split […]
Warmest open to a November in Europe weather history? The sea of warm air covering our continent may bring joy to some, especially in the sheltered sunnier spots but misery for others as widespread fog causes headaches for thousands trying to fly in and out of many of the worlds busiest airport hubs. We had an impressive […]
November looks increasingly likely to be a mild month and it sure did start off that way yesterday. Before yesterday, you had to rewind all the way back to 1946 for when the UK last enjoyed a day in the 20s (C) during November. The warmest temperature ever recorded during November was 21.7C set in mid Wales. Yesterday […]
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The below winter 2015-16 forecast for Europe is based on. Global sea surface temperature anomaly Strong El Nino & forecast projection into winter Eurasia snow cover Solar Cycle 24 Trend in NAO/AO during the past year Interesting to note that as of this winter forecast release, today broke a 1946 UK November record with a remarkably mild 22.4C […]
For a second straight year, Halloween is hardly scary with another October 31st dominated by mild air and southerly winds. The majority of the UK will be dry and mild through Halloween afternoon and evening. A front lifting north tonight into Halloween will bring spells of rain along with increased breeze but this very front will introduce the next batch of mild Mediterranean air through the second […]
This morning’s visible satellite image shows a large low encompassing a large area of the North Atlantic and it’s associated cold front draped over the British Isles. The strong high pressure system in the east is very evident with the absence of cloud over the Baltic states, Ukraine, Bulgaria and Romania. Here’s the surface view […]
After a reasonably tranquil Sep/Oct, the upper pattern is shifting with more milder influence from west and south as milder, moister air ends the month and looks to stick around through November’s first half looks. The reason for this shift is the AO/NAO which after being predominantly negative through the summer into early autumn, is, as expected turning positive. This will allow the […]
October is a fickle, transitional and rather moody month which can display tranquillity or energy of destructive force. This time of year, there’s a battle between incoming winter and outgoing summer. There’s no denying that it’s mild by late October standards. Night temps this week are about where they should be by day. 19-21C is more what […]
As you know, there’s a very distinct battle between Atlantic low pressure and continental high pressure this week and as is often the case with amplified or meridional patterns, while one area is warm, it’s typically cold elsewhere. So while the West of Europe including the UK and Ireland is in the mild air, it’s […]
Chris Beal has been keeping us updated through the past week on the extreme cold experienced over Greenland. Early to mid last week, an unusually cold surface high sat over the remote central Greenland research outpost of Summit Camp. As a result of the clear cold, largely windless atmosphere above the vast icecap which makes up most of […]
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