Rest of Europe
Below article was written at 5am and scheduled for release at 10am, unfortunately it failed to release. Apologies for delay! It’s another turbulent week of ups and downs with the next named storm, Barney pushing across the UK today. Heavy rain initially followed by gale to severe gale-force winds. Worst affected areas will be central […]
In the past 6 months, there’s been a lot of linkage between 2009 and 2015 with a very similar long term weather pattern. Following a cool, wet, -NAO/AO summer we enjoyed a tranquil September and October and as forecasted here, we have seen a dramatic turn to wetter during November. In fact the flip and striking similarity […]
How many times have we seen the models show a strong blocking high over Greenland and the North Atlantic 10-15 days out only to not materialise? It seems in the last 2-3 years or really since the record blocking and cold winters of 09-10 and 10-11, there has been one disappointment after the other regarding […]
As expected, higher sections of Scotland’s road network has experienced the first winter conditions of the 2015-16 season with treacherous driving conditions is particularly exposed areas. In the wake of Abigail, a distinctly colder (Greenland origin) air flow has dropped air temperature even at relatively low elevation a good 5-8C off yesterday’s values. Within the heavy […]
Abigail, winter 2015-16’s first named major storm looks set to make it’s closest approach to Scotland overnight tonight with pressure dipping towards 965mb during Friday. Current visible satellite shows the storm gathering strength west of Scotland with cloud hook becoming more distinct. GFS has centre down to 964mb at ooz Friday (overnight tonight) Strongest winds will probably peak between 12-6am […]
The first ‘strong gale centre’ is set to make it’s closest approach to the UK with the centre passing between Scotland and Iceland later tomorrow into Friday. With wind gusts of up to 80-90 mph over the Western, Northern Isles as well as the NW mainland, this system will be the first of the named of winter […]
This November will be long remembered for it’s incredible warmth. Less than 10 days ago Trawsgoed, Wales recorded the UK’s warmest November day on record with a new benchmark of 22.4C surpassing the old record of 21.6C set back in 1946. Throughout the past 24 hours, our flow has connections extending all the way back to […]
This week will be by far the UK’s wettest in many months and most turbulent since possibly all the way back to February. This highly active pattern with moisture plume seen in infrared extending all the way back to the Gulf of Mexico is all thanks to a strengthening +NAO induced trough digging down over the North Atlantic increasing the thermal gradient, jet […]
Before you read, I would encourage some caution because this is not me forecasting a late November cold outbreak but more showing you some optimistic model output. More what the atmosphere may be showing and where it may want to head ‘periodically’ through the upcoming winter season. What’s quite interesting is the models didn’t really […]
Back a few days ago the models were suggesting a really poor weekend for bonfires and fireworks displays, however, despite the rapid arrival of these heavy rain and moderate wind baring depressions, there looks to be good timing in the passing of these fronts. Today, it’s wet and breezy but the latest front clears later this […]
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