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With Super Typhoon Nuri poised for a west Pacific recurve combined with a +PNA, Siberian strat warming and big increase in Canadian snow cover should lead to another major Nov cold blast for the Midwest and East US. This is very like last winter with the Siberian strat warming which lead to a direct discharge […]
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As forecast since late August, October and November should play catch up with the dry September with a highly Atlantic setup. That’s what we’ve got and will likely continue with through much of this month. While Scotland has been hit hard by significant rains in recent weeks, I think England and Wales will turn wetter. […]
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This seasonal forecast for the US is based on the signals nature has already presented to us and data available as well as past analog years. With the still warmer than normal northeast Pacific, the development of a weak, possibly moderate El Nino into winter (central Pacific positioned), an easterly QBO and significant Siberian snow cover… The Central and Eastern US looks poised for […]
This seasonal forecast for the UK, Ireland and rest of Europe is based on the signals nature has already presented to us and data available as well as past analog years. With the development of a weak, possibly moderate El Nino into winter (central Pacific positioned), the progression into an easterly QBO within a downward trend in solar cycle 24 (but not minimum), a […]
As previously posted, we’ve got a decent blast of arctic air now driving into the Lower 48. Expect widespread snow flakes with some accumulation over parts of the Ohio Valley and particularly over the mountains of the Carolinas, Virginias up into PA and eventually New England. As well as the snow, it sure is cold for […]
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