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As shown in yesterday’s post, once Super Typhoon Nuri is bombing out over the North Pacific, challenging record low pressure near 920mb within the next 48 hours. It’s this low which will explode heights over Alaska and the arctic, dislodging a piece of the polar vortex and forcing it south. Models have a mid-winter level 1044mb high […]
We’re seeing an early start to stratospheric warming over Siberia and the North Pacific Ocean. This appears to be fuelling early season arctic outbreaks into North America but for us here in Western Europe to waiting game continues. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] When it comes to cold here, we watch for a term known as sudden stratospheric […]
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We have the second, potentially stronger arctic blast of November heading for the central and eastern US and when joining up all the variables, this winter looks increasingly wild with comparisons to the late 70s showing up. With all the years joined together with all the same variables to this year. Dec looks like this (above chart!)! The coming cold […]
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While winter is off to a fast start across many parts of the hemisphere, I must admit, I am getting excited at what I’m seeing for us. Until there’s clear evidence, I’m not jumping but notice the tanking in the Arctic Oscillation… [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] And yes, the North Atlantic Oscillation is going negative too… The […]
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The Arctic Oscillation is returning to a negative state and this looks to be the firm trend as we head deeper into November. It also means a continuation in growth of the big snow cover we’ve already got. ALL things point to a big winter across the boreal hemisphere this year but the big question remains, where […]
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