(Courtesy of Mark Vogan)
Hope you enjoyed that tame glimpse of summer yesterday and today. We’re now seeing the rains spread into Devon, Cornwall and South Wales as well as of course, Ireland, setting the scene for yet more unsettled weather for Britain.
The leading edge of the next Atlantic storm is now pushing in and will spread a band of heavy rain across the South tonight and will slowly work through the Midlands into the north of England tomorrow morning into the afternoon. It won’t be till late afternoon where the rains spread into southern and central Scotland, so here it should remain a fairly decent day up till later afternoon.
As for the rains sweeping into the south tonight, I have concerns that because there is a degree of warmth in the lower atmosphere, the energy bumping into this could well enhance lift, producing embedded thunderstorms which may drop a lot more rain in localised areas than within the broader canopy of rain.
Heavy rains sweet northeastwards with initial front Thurs (Courtesy of MeteoGroup)
Keep in mind that although we’ll see the typical tricky driving conditions with heavy spray and some surface flooding, we must keep in mind that the soils are saturated across a large part of the South and so it may not take must for renewed flooding to occur.
From Cornwall to London into East Anglia, the worst of the rain should be over by mid morning with clearing over the Southwest first, then gradually over to the Southeast. Midmorning should see the worst over the Midlands while sunshine should begin reappearing further south. Into the afternoon and the north from Manchester to Carlisle should start to see rains become persistent with heavy pulses embedded. By 3pm onwards, this rain should push into Southern Scotland and last into the evening.
In the sun across the interior SW of England across to London, we should see temperatures rebound back into the low 20s again.
Heavy areas of rain develop along fronts as low centres itself over irish Sea Friday! (Courtesy of MeteoGroup)
Friday sees the low push across the UK with it’s sub-1000mb centre positioning over the Irish Sea, this will allow stiff southwest winds to blow during Friday while similarly stiff east winds will blow across northern Scotland. Friday will be blustery pretty much everywhere with widespread showers.
By Saturday it turns cooler as the storm pushes NE into the North Sea and it’s backside flows draws cooler air down from the northwest.
Unfortunately, the unsettled theme looks to take us into next week.
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