United Kingdom & Ireland
This morning’s Europe visible satellite view shows the UK separated north-south by two different air masses. The mild air can be seen streaming across southern Ireland, England and Wales with thicker cloud but arctic can be seen crossing Northern Ireland and Scotland with bumpy, broken high level cloud. This flow is unstable and producing heavy convective style rain, […]
Thanks to some of the coldest December air in the last 20 years sweeping down over the U.S and now out into the open Atlantic, the jet stream has become super charged, accelerating beyond 200 mph. This jet shall fuel the rapid deepening of low pressure crossing the Atlantic, particularly nearer Ireland. Today into tonight sees gales cross […]
It remains warm in the west with northern Scotland currently sitting at 12C at Altnaharra but on the other end of the continent, it remains bitter. High elevated and deeply snow covered Euzurum, eastern Turkey dropped to -35C overnight, nearing their December record of -37C. December so far Make the most of the quiet open to this week […]
Up until now our weather has been fairly quiet despite being Atlantic influenced. This quiet spell is all about to change as we head through the all important Christmas week. Waves of frigid arctic air are sweeping off North America out over the Atlantic is firing a super charged jet stream, helping develop lows into major storm systems. Ireland and […]
The polar vortex has been weak but is now in a state of recover at 10mb over the next 10 days. This coincides with a positive AO/NAO as we go through the 2nd half of December. This correlates to a more zonal hemispheric flow pattern and so North America and Europe become strongly influenced by Pacific and Atlantic. Enjoy the […]
As forecast, central and eastern Turkey has been hammered by a major snowstorm and now it’s all about the bitter cold following in it’s wake as surface pressure builds to 1030mb. GFS snow cover. A solid 15-30, locally 40″ on the ground within the mountains of the east. Incredible snow scenes. Bingol, E Turkey High pressure […]
Up until now, our Atlantic pattern has been rather subdued, largely down to a strong blocking high over Europe combined with weak to modest strength jet which has been easy to split on approach the Ireland. However, it looks like things are about to liven up during next week as arctic wave 3 of 3 descends upon the eastern […]
Live in the UK or Ireland and wondering where winter is, well there’s plenty of it over the continent. We’ve a big high dominating with Siberian air trapped beneath. With HP to the east and LP to the west, the UK finds itself trapped under a mild, moist southerly flow with little eastward progression in this dreary […]
The GFS ensemble continues to show the large warm pool at 50hpa shifting from Northern Greenland to Scandinavia and towards the northern Europe-Asia border by day 10. This would be a similar position to what we saw back in October-November. This to me reflects a Scandinavia high pressure blocking pattern. Favourable for at least some easterly flow […]
It’s simple, Western Europe has been bathing in mild air and shall continue to do so through at least the next 5 days while Eastern and Southeastern Europe remains cold with lows feeding in Siberian brand air. However, the GFS operational and other models suggest somewhat of a flip coming in the medium range. GFS meteogram for Moscow shows a cold trend and […]

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