United Kingdom & Ireland
With the undisputed help of a cold Atlantic has supported a cool summer for Ireland and UK while the strong El Nino and warm Mediterranean has led to a hot, dry summer for much of the continental mainland. A persistent trough extending from Iceland to UK has forced a cooler than normal June, July and likely August period and with […]
In today’s post I wanted to share with you an interesting article I came across on Netweather.tv. A theory about a very possible connection between El Nino and European heat waves. Given that I base my own forecasts on connections with major global drivers such as El Nino and SSTA’s, I very much believe there’s […]
An unusually strong upper ridge has been dominated across Europe for much of the 2015 summer and in the last 5 days, the latest heat burst has been shifting north from France through Germany and now all the way into the Baltic countries. This past weekend for many across the Southern UK and a large […]
Well the GFS has hands down beaten the ECMWF on Bertha’s track as well as intensity, deepening from 1001mb off SW Britain to now nearer 978mb off Aberdeen. As Bertha tracked NNE the system continued to deepen as seen by the GFS with wind speeds and rainfall increasing. The combination of Highland topography and very warm water (compared to normal) over […]
The focus of heat has been over central and eastern Europe this month with all-time records being challenged in Berlin, Warsaw and several other central and eastern cities. There’s is a definite connection between and hot Europe and El Nino. If we go back over the years, 1994, 1998, 2003, 2006, 2015, all produced MAJOR heat during the summer […]
Live in Scotland, Ireland or northern England, take note, it looks like we’ve FINALLY got some warm and more settled weather coming next week.. Yippy! As for the here and now first, well it’s a decent Friday for most with sun and scattered showers. Remaining cool for NI Ireland and Scotland but the warmth is […]
In all honestly, I am still very undecided about where I am going with the upcoming winter. The below CFSv2 and Jamstec runs for the Dec 2015-Feb 2016 period are near opposite but both believable in their own right. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Note the CFSv2 below is going for a cool autumn then warm winter. Wet […]
Tired of this cool, wet theme? Don’t fret, on the whole (except far N/W) we’ve got a more settled pattern developing for the late Wednesday through Saturday period. Unfortunately the next sizable Icelandic low heralds our next spell of wind and rain during Sunday. Before ridging builds in briefly, we’ve got to get through today’s rain spreading NNE through Ireland, Western & […]
I’m on BBC Radio 4’s ‘What’s The Point Of? tomorrow @ 9am or 9.30pm. Tune in! FM: 92.5–96.1 or online http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b06418l5 The Met Office What’s the Point of…?, Series 7 Episode 1 of 4 Quentin Letts begins a new series casting a critical but amicable eye across institutions at the heart of British life, asking the question […]
For folks across Ireland and Scotland in particular, it’s just another autumn day in summer. Just another low that shouldn’t be affecting us at a time. The past two summers we’re quite different with plenty of opportunity to wear shorts, sun screen and enjoy a BBQ. Blame the COLD Atlantic as well as the sharp gradient between colder […]
Recent Comments